Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AC Milan logo
2 - 1
Full-Time
AC Fiorentina logo
Serie A
Italy
/
Serie A
/
San Siro

AC Milan
vs
AC Fiorentina
Preview

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AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.51
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    AC Milan
    Won
    Explanation
    • AC Milan won 4 of 6 matches with just one loss, showing stronger recent form than AC Fiorentina.
    • AC Milan has a +6 goal difference and concedes only 0.5 goals per game, indicating solid defense.
    • In recent head-to-heads AC Milan earned two wins and a draw, giving them a clear edge at home.
  • Tipped at
    1.95
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Matches with AC Milan average 2.0 total goals and recent scores include 1-0,2-0 and 0-0 results.
    • AC Fiorentina scores just 0.67 goals per game and only 0.33 away, so they are unlikely to boost the total.
    • Both teams combined average about 2.0 goals per match in the tournament, pointing to under 2.5 goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.80
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AC Fiorentina has managed only 1 away goal so far (0.33 per away match), so scoring here looks unlikely.
    • Matches with AC Milan see both teams score in only 25% overall and 40% at home, a low BTTS rate.
    • AC Milan kept three clean sheets in their last five outings (including a 0-0), showing they often shut teams out.

Predictions

AC Milan

  • AC Milan have won 4 of their last 5 Serie A matches, drawing the other (2-1 at home to Napoli, 0-0 away at Juventus).
  • AC Milan are third in Serie A with 13 points from 6 games, while Fiorentina are 17th with just 3 points on the board.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions.


Head-to-Head

The 2-2 draw at San Siro between these sides six months ago was a thrilling game, but Sunday’s matchup promises to be more of a chess match between two top coaches. Our AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina prediction suggests that both teams will look to control the midfield and take their chances when they come.


Key Players

  • Fiorentina play a more fluid, possession-based game than Milan, Stefano Pioli likes his full-backs to bomb on and his midfielders to play high up the field to dominate possession.
  • Lucas Beltrán’s ability to drop deep and link up with both lines is key to how Pioli sets his teams up, while Nicolás González offers a dynamic out wide and can take the ball at pace to the byline.
  • Rafael Leão is the pacey winger on the other flank, while Christian Pulisic offers a target for long balls over the top.
  • The former Chelsea star has been in prolific form for Milan with 4 goals in 6 league games, netting nearly half of Milan’s 9 goals in their recent five-match unbeaten run in Serie A.
  • Milan have been very solid at the back since Allegri made a few tactical tweaks and Mike Maignan is a reliable keeper.

Betting Insights

  • AC Milan are favorites at 1.52 to beat an inconsistent AC Fiorentina side on Sunday afternoon, but the Viola are available at 5.9 to pull off a shock.
  • The AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina betting tips point towards backing Under 2.5 (1.95) and Both Teams To Score - no (1.8) as the way to go here.

Prediction

  • Allegri has been true to his pragmatic, defensive set up since returning to Milan, although there is a fluidity to the red and blacks’ play that was not always evident during his previous tenure.
  • The 3-5-2 formation morphs easily into a 4-2-3-1, which Milan use to flood forward quickly when possession is won back in their own half, but this is a team set up to be solid at the back and score on the counter-attack.
  • Based on the latest AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina betting tips, it is Massimiliano Allegri’s men who should edge it.
AC Milan logo

Last 33 H2H matches

  • 16
    Won
  • 7
    Draw
  • 10
    Won
AC Fiorentina logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    57
    43
  • Total Shots
    14
    5
  • Shots On Target
    4
    1
  • Shots Off Target
    7
    3
  • Corners
    1
    3
  • Crosses
    10
    14
  • Yellow Cards
    3
    3
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    14
    14
  • Offsides
    0
    2
  • Fouls Committed
    14
    12
  • Counterattacks
    0
    1
  • GK Saves
    0
    2
  • Goal Kicks
    3
    7
  • Throw Ins
    16
    18
  • Treatments
    1
    2
  • Substitutions
    3
    5

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Serie A Predictions

10 JAN SATURDAY

11 JAN SUNDAY

12 JAN MONDAY

FAQ

  • AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan have tallied 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, AC Fiorentina have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina fixture?

    During the last AC Milan vs AC Fiorentina encounter, the goals came from Robin Gosens, Rafael Leão.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for AC Milan and AC Fiorentina in this Serie A 2025/2026 season?

    In the Serie A 2025/2026, Christian Pulisic leads the scoring for AC Milan with 8 goals, while Moise Kean tops the charts for AC Fiorentina with 5 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Serie A 2025/2026 season – AC Milan or AC Fiorentina?

    The Serie A 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to AC Milan, who have shipped just 14 goals in 18 matches and kept 9 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.78.

Author

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo AC Milan
29 18
19
Team Logo AC Fiorentina
20 19

Player Statistics

Name
Christian Pulisic
8 2 0 0 13 696
Rafael Leao
7 1 1 0 12 816
Alexis Saelemaekers
2 2 2 0 18 1531
Strahinja Pavlovic
2 1 2 0 17 1462
Davide Bartesaghi
2 0 1 0 14 1092

Serie A Standings

2
The AC Milan logo
AC Milan
18 11 6 1 29:14 39
19
The AC Fiorentina logo
AC Fiorentina
19 2 7 10 20:30 13
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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