SS Lazio
- SS Lazio are inconsistent at home with a record of 6 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses.
- Lazio sit 10th in Serie A 2025/2026 with 37 points from 28 games and have enjoyed an average campaign by their high standards.
- While their home record isn’t terrible, Sarri’s side have been inconsistent at the Stadio Olimpico, winning only six of 14 league games and conceding 17 goals - an average of 1.21 per game.
- Sarri’s appointment in June 2025 has led to the Biancocelesti operating in a more patient, possession-based system, with the 4-3-3 system focusing on controlled passing, short passing sequences and positional overloads in central areas.
AC Milan
- AC Milan have won back-to-back away games, while SS Lazio have won one of their last five (W1, D2, L2).
- Milan have won their last two matches - beating Cremonese 2-0 away from home and Inter 1-0 at San Siro - to move to second in Serie A 2025/2026 with 60 points from 28 matches.
- Allegri’s influence is evident in Milan’s pragmatic approach to the game, with the team able to switch between controlling the tempo and launching rapid attacks, as well as their ability to press high or sit deep and counter-press.
Head-to-Head
Their last five head-to-head matches at Lazio have averaged 1.0 goals per game , suggesting that this could be a low-scoring match-up.
Key Players
- Danilo Cataldi is Lazio’s top goal-scorer in Serie A 2025/2026 with three goals in 25 appearances.
- Rafael Leao leads the attack for the Rossoneri with nine goals in 21 league appearances, while the Portugal winger has scored two goals in his last five games.
Betting Insights
- Odds for an away win of 2.0 are attractive as they are unbeaten in Serie A 2025/2026 with nine wins and five draws from 14 matches.
- Their last five head-to-head matches at Lazio have averaged 1.0 goals per game, and odds of 1.8 for Both Teams to Score - No are good value.
Prediction
Milan’s away defensive solidity is one of the best in Serie A 2025/2026 with only nine goals conceded in 14 matches , so we’re not expecting Lazio to score and we feel that they could be shut out by Allegri’s side.
