Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
AC Fiorentina logo
0 - 0
Full-Time
AC Parma logo
Serie A
Italy
/
Serie A
/
Artemio Franchi, Firenze

AC Fiorentina
vs
AC Parma
Preview

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AC Fiorentina vs AC Parma Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    5.06
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    AC Parma
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AC Parma has won 5 away matches this Serie A 2025-2026 season, showing real effectiveness on the road.
    • AC Fiorentina has conceded 19 goals at home, averaging 1.46 conceded per home match this season.
    • Four of the last 5 meetings were draws in regular time, but the most recent encounter ended in a 0-1 win for AC Parma.
  • Tipped at
    1.91
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • AC Fiorentina's home matches average 2.85 total goals in Serie A 2025-2026, pushing some volatility at this venue.
    • AC Parma averages just 1.69 total goals in away matches this campaign, which tends to keep scorelines lower.
    • Their last five head-to-heads averaged 1.8 goals per game, with four regular-time draws suggesting tight affairs.
  • Tipped at
    1.85
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Lost
    Explanation
    • AC Fiorentina's matches have seen both teams score in 66.67% of cases this season, rising to 76.92% at home.
    • AC Parma concedes 1.00 goals per away match this season, so they often allow opponents to find the net.
    • Three of the last five head-to-heads finished with both teams on the scoresheet (1-1, 2-2, 1-1).

Predictions

Home - Fiorentina

  • AC Parma are 12th in Serie A with 33 points from 27 games, but AC Fiorentina are only 16th with 24 points from as many games when these clubs meet in Serie A on Sunday.
  • The home side enter the game coming off back-to-back defeats and in need of a result to stem their slide down the table.
  • La Viola have scored 18 goals in 13 Serie A home games this season, so will not be overly expansive against Parma either.

Away - Parma

  • Parma have won five, drawn four and lost four of their 13 away Serie A fixtures in 2025-2026.
  • The visitors, who are unbeaten in their last three games and picked up notable wins away at AC Milan (1-0) and at home against Hellas Verona (2-1), will be hoping to get a result.
  • Carlos Cuesta has been Parma boss since June 2025 and has installed a 3-5-2 system that prioritises defensive organization and structure over anything his team do in possession.
  • Cuesta’s side are likely to clog up the center of the field and look to use the wing-backs to provide width and allow direct attacking combinations in the matchup.

Head-to-Head

Both teams have won one and drawn three of their last five head-to-heads across all competitions.


Key Players

  • Key players to watch:
    • Moise Kean remains their top scorer with eight goals in 24 Serie A appearances and has scored three of their goals in their last five games to become their most reliable targetman.
    • Mateo Pellegrino leads the way for Parma with 7 Serie A goals from 27 Serie A matches and provides the club’s most consistent goal threat in the center of the pitch.

Betting Insights

The odds for the draw seem good at 3.5 , while the bet on Over 2.5 goals looks a bit short at 1.95 and Both Teams to Score - No is worth a try at 1.9 as only one of these clubs is likely to break through and do so sparingly in what will surely be a chess game.


Prediction

A draw is the most probable result in this matchup based on a balanced recent head-to-head record and the style of both clubs, which are likely to be conservative in this contest.

AC Fiorentina logo

Last 25 H2H matches

  • 6
    Won
  • 14
    Draw
  • 5
    Won
AC Parma logo

Last Matches

  • Mar 08 2026
    Serie A
    AC Parma logo
    AC Fiorentina
    0
    AC Parma logo
    AC Parma
    0
  • Dec 27 2025
    Serie A
    AC Fiorentina logo
    AC Parma
    1
    AC Fiorentina logo
    AC Fiorentina
    0
  • Apr 13 2025
    Serie A
    AC Parma logo
    AC Fiorentina
    0
    AC Parma logo
    AC Parma
    0
  • Aug 17 2024
    Serie A
    AC Fiorentina logo
    AC Parma
    1
    AC Fiorentina logo
    AC Fiorentina
    1
  • Dec 06 2023
    Coppa Italia
    AC Parma logo
    AC Fiorentina
    6
    AC Parma logo
    AC Parma
    3

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    56
    44
  • Total Shots
    12
    8
  • Shots On Target
    1
    0
  • Shots Off Target
    6
    6
  • Corners
    7
    1
  • Crosses
    30
    16
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    0
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    14
    13
  • Offsides
    1
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    12
    14
  • Counterattacks
    1
    4
  • GK Saves
    0
    1
  • Goal Kicks
    10
    12
  • Throw Ins
    11
    14
  • Treatments
    2
    0
  • Substitutions
    4
    4

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Serie A Predictions

03 MAY SUNDAY

04 MAY MONDAY

FAQ

  • AC Fiorentina vs AC Parma – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, AC Fiorentina have tallied 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, AC Parma have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for AC Fiorentina and AC Parma in this Serie A 2025/2026 season?

    In the Serie A 2025/2026, Moise Kean leads the scoring for AC Fiorentina with 8 goals, while Mateo Pellegrino tops the charts for AC Parma with 8 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Serie A 2025/2026 season – AC Fiorentina or AC Parma?

    The Serie A 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to AC Parma, who have shipped just 40 goals in 34 matches and kept 12 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.18.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
12
Team Logo AC Parma
25 34
15
Team Logo AC Fiorentina
38 34

Player Statistics

Name
Moise Kean
8 1 4 0 26 2033
Rolando Mandragora
6 3 7 0 31 2233
Albert Gudmundsson
5 4 3 1 29 2096
Robin Gosens
3 1 2 0 22 1552
Roberto Piccoli
3 1 1 0 29 1465

Serie A Standings

12
The AC Parma logo
AC Parma
34 10 12 12 25:40 42
15
The AC Fiorentina logo
AC Fiorentina
34 8 13 13 38:45 37
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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