Jagiellonia (home)
- Jagiellonia Bialystok SSA are unbeaten in four competitive games and have hit their stride at home with two convincing performances coming into this UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 knockout play-off against AC Fiorentina, which promises to be full of intrigue as the two teams meet for the first time.
- Jagiellonia’s two most recent wins have been by 4-1 and 3-1 scorelines, against Motor Lublin and Widzew Łódź.
- Jagiellonia have a fully fit squad and a settled starting XI.
- Siemieniec’s side have played in a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system this season and are built around a compact defensive unit that can transition to attack quickly and win set-piece battles.
Fiorentina (away)
- Paolo Vanoli’s viola are 18th in Serie A and involved in a relegation battle that must be prioritised over European dreams.
- Fiorentina have concerns over the fitness of Albert Gudmundsson and Daniele Rugani.
- Fiorentina have more of a technical base and will often play in either a 3-5-2 or 3-4-2-1 formation, which requires their wing-backs to get forward, their midfield to dominate the ball and the forward line to make penetrative runs.
- The visitors are in a slump, drawing 2-2 with Torino, losing 1-2 to Napoli and 1-3 to Como in the Coppa Italia last time out, so confidence is low.
Head-to-Head
The two teams meet for the first time.
Key Players
- Moise Kean is their top goalscorer with only six in Serie A, but Jack Harrison, Manor Solomon and Marco Brescianini rotate around him to good effect at times.
- Jagiellonia’s best player and top goalscorer this term is Jesus Imaz, who has the ability to unlock defences with his clinical finishing in tight spaces.
- The hosts have Afimico Pululu, a proven Conference League performer, to be their main outlet.
- Nicolò Fagioli can control the tempo and release his forwards on sudden vertical attacks.
Betting Insights
- The draw odds are 3.4 with Jagiellonia 3.6 and Fiorentina 2.0.
- The odds for this match are a little unusual with the visitors installed as 2.0 favourites, so we’re going to take the home team at 3.6 and a draw at 3.4.
- BTTS is a market price of 1.7 here.
- The temperature is likely to be between -5C and -10C in Bialystok, which may blunt Fiorentina’s technical style and favour the home side’s physical approach.
Prediction
- A 0-0 or 1-1 draw looks the most likely outcome here, so we’re sticking with a double chance play on the hosts.
- A cagey, physical game is on the cards.
