Lazio (home)
- A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina has all the makings of a fascinating chess match between two very different approaches to football and two very interesting managers, as Maurizio Sarri gets to welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico.
- Sarri has been true to his roots since returning to the Biancocelesti, re-implementing the possession-based ‘Sarriball’ style and the structured 4-3-3 system that he prefers.
- His team are very tough to beat after a shaky start and look to be a lot closer to Sarri’s ideal of a controlled, patient build-up, with an overload in the centre of the field and some verticality in passing.
- Lazio enter this matchup unbeaten in their last 5 Serie A matches (W2, D3) but with a pair of draws in their past two outings, including a goalless stalemate at home to Cremonese.
-
Recent stats:
- Lazio have won 4, drawn 3 and lost just 1 of their 8 home Serie A games this season.
- Lazio have scored an average of 1.63 goals per home game in Serie A 2025-2026.
Fiorentina (away)
- Paolo Vanoli took charge at Fiorentina in November and has tried to do a few things at the same time.
- Defensively, he has tried to get his players to sit deep, remain compact and be selective in their pressing.
- It has worked, with the Viola more solid and disciplined in their approach since his appointment, but they still struggle to create enough, particularly on the road.
- Fiorentina come into this game off a 1-0 defeat to Parma, but they beat Udinese 5-1 at home the previous weekend.
- They have lost their last two away games, with 5 defeats and 4 draws from 9 away matches this season.
-
Recent stats:
- Fiorentina have failed to win any of their 9 away games in Serie A 2025-2026 (D4, L5).
- Fiorentina have averaged 0.56 goals per away game in 2025-2026.
Head-to-Head
Fiorentina have won the last two meetings against Lazio , including a 2-1 away win at the Stadio Olimpico last season.
Key Players
- Moise Kean (Fiorentina) is in good scoring form.
- Lazio currently lack a consistent goal-getter in form.
Betting Insights
- Backing Lazio to win at 2.21 is presented as a solid pick, with Fiorentina priced at 3.72.
- The Under 2.5 goals wager at 1.76 is considered attractive because Lazio have been kept out by low blocks before and don’t have a goal-getter in form, while Fiorentina have averaged just 0.56 goals per away game and conceded 1.56 on the road.
Prediction
Lazio are more solid at the back now, so back a low-scoring game in Rome on Wednesday.
