Head-to-Head
- Penarol Montevideo have won two of the last three head-to-head meetings with Montevideo Wanderers.
- Montevideo Wanderers have failed to win in their last two away games against Penarol.
Penarol Montevideo (home)
- Our Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers prediction is influenced by the fact that Penarol are sitting at the top of the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura 2025 with 26 points after 11 matches and are unbeaten in their last five (W3, D2).
- Diego Aguirre’s side have been in scintillating form on their own patch, winning all six of their league matches at home so far, while conceding just one goal.
- They are coming into this match fresh from a 2-0 home win over Danubio and a 2-2 draw away to Miramar Misiones, maintaining their momentum.
- His 4-3-3 system is based around playing on the front foot, with lots of width, tempo and aggressive pressing to dominate matches.
Montevideo Wanderers (away)
- The Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers betting tips also consider that Montevideo Wanderers sit in 15th place in the Clausura division after picking up just five points from their opening 11 matches, leaving them far behind Penarol.
- Carreno is likely to set his team up to be compact, pragmatic and counter-attacking, while Aguirre will want his men to pressure the Wanderers’ players into mistakes.
Key Players
- They lack the attacking firepower of Penarol, with top scorer Alan Garcia scoring just once in eight appearances in the league.
- Penarol’s firepower is only increased by the form of Matias Arezo, who has scored six goals in 11 appearances in the Clausura 2025, including three in his last five.
Betting Insights
- The bookmakers have priced Penarol at 1.3 for this game and Wanderers at 9.0.
- Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.85 and offers value, considering Wanderers are likely to concede plenty against Penarol’s high tempo attack. This supports our Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers betting tips for this fixture.
Prediction
- Penarol have too much attacking thrust, home dominance and form to not see this as an opportunity for a comfortable win.
- The match will be won or lost depending on whether Penarol’s relentless attacking pressure can break through Wanderers’ defensive structure.
