Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers have shown some erratic form in recent weeks with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five fixtures, but a home game against Cerro should suit their style of play.
- Mathias Corujo’s men sit 11th in the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2026 with 11 points from eight games, but Cerro are stuck at the bottom of the table in 16th place with only two points from seven games.
- Corujo’s pragmatic system - installed in December 2025 - has made them solid, well-organised and direct without possession.
Cerro
- They lost 1-0 at home to Progreso and 3-1 at Penarol during the last week and have now failed to win any of their last five games, suffering three straight defeats.
- Their away form has been particularly dismal, losing all three road trips and conceding seven goals.
Key Players
- Jonas Luna
- Jonas Luna leads the Montevideo Wanderers scoring with two goals in eight league appearances this season.
- Jonas Luna is the best player on their team, usually given the ball up front and can be the spark for some good direct play.
- Alejandro Severo is Cerro’s main goal threat with one goal in his five league appearances this year, but the visitors can use him as a focal point when they try to disrupt Wanderers’ progress.
Betting Insights
- The statistics suggest a pretty close game and the home side, who are rated 2.18 to win, are rightly favoured to edge it.
- Cerro have lost their last three away games, which is why they are rated so low at 3.35, but the home team have conceded 1.5 goals a game at their own ground in 2026, shipping six in four matches.
Prediction
But the away side have been very tough to beat and the derby atmosphere might make it a little more competitive, so we are siding with Cerro to keep it close.
