Penarol Montevideo

vs

Liverpool FC Montevideo

Preview

Penarol Montevideo (home)

• Penarol Montevideo are in much stronger form than their city rivals Liverpool FC Montevideo ahead of Monday’s Uruguayan ‘derby’ in the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2026.
• The hosts sit 2nd in the Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura 2026 with 22 points from ten games while the visitors are 9th with 13 points from as many fixtures.
• Penarol have won three, drawn one and lost only one.
• Penarol have won four of their last five.
• Diego Aguirre took the helm at Penarol in November 2023 and has clearly been a good appointment.
• He has set his side up to be very compact and tough to beat in a 4-4-2 or three-center-back system, which enables them to play on the counter with quick transitions.

Liverpool FC Montevideo (away)

• Liverpool FC Montevideo have been in poor form, winless in five (D3, L2).
• The visitors are 9th with just 13 points from ten fixtures.
• Liverpool have drawn 3-3 at Club Atletico Progreso and lost 0-2 at home to Deportivo Maldonado in their last two.
• Camilo Speranza has kept the same identity at Liverpool since January 2026.
• The visitors play at a much higher tempo, pressing and attacking up front.

Key Players

• Matias Arezo leads Penarol’s goal-scorers with six in ten league appearances.
• Luis Angulo has three in their last five, hitting a purple patch.
• Federico Martinez is Liverpool’s top scorer with five in ten, with four of those coming in their last six.

Betting Insights

• The hosts are 1.65 to take the win.
• Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is 2.1, which is our main wager.

Prediction

• Penarol poised to win derby.
• Penarol should have the advantage on Monday given their form and standing in the Apertura 2026.