Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
FC St. Pauli logo
0 - 0
Full-Time
Hamburger SV logo
Bundesliga
Germany
/
Bundesliga
/
Millerntor Stadion

FC St. Pauli
vs
Hamburger SV
Preview

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FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.25
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Draw
    Won
    Explanation
    • FC St. Pauli has 3 draws (1 at home) while Hamburger SV has 5 draws (3 at home); both sides often share points.
    • Recent form shows many 0-0s: FC St. Pauli had two scoreless games and Hamburger SV opened two recent home matches 0-0.
    • Head-to-head is tight with a 2-2 draw and alternating narrow results, suggesting another evenly fought match.
  • Tipped at
    2.32
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Matches with FC St. Pauli average 2.76 goals overall and 3.29 goals at home, favoring totals above 2.5.
    • Hamburger SV away fixtures average 2.75 goals per game and past H2H include high scores like 3-4 and 2-2.
    • Both teams recently featured 2-3, 1-2 and 1-4 scorelines against others, so totals often exceed 2.5 goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.84
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • Hamburger SV scores just 4 away goals (0.5 avg), so they frequently fail to score when playing on the road.
    • FC St. Pauli averages only 1.14 goals at home and has multiple recent 0-0s, making shutouts likely in this match.
    • Only about 43–45% of matches for these teams see both score, so a one-sided scoreline or clean sheet is common.

Predictions

St. Pauli

  • FC St. Pauli have failed to win any of their last five Bundesliga games (D3, L2) and sit rock bottom of the table after 17 games (W2, D6, L9).
  • They are also winless in their last five Bundesliga matches (D3, L2), including the last two, and have been particularly poor at home with only two wins and four defeats in seven games.

Hamburger SV

  • Hamburger SV are one place above the relegation zone in 14th after 17 Bundesliga games (W5, D2, L10), with three draws and two defeats in their last five.
  • HSV have been even worse with zero away wins in the Bundesliga (D2, L6) and 18 goals conceded in eight matches.

Head-to-Head

  • This Hamburg derby pits two very different clubs against one another, with Alexander Blessin’s St. Pauli pressing teams furiously and transitioning quickly in a 3-4-3 system, while new HSV coach Merlin Polzin prefers a more patient approach with a possession-based 4-3-3 or back three.
  • St. Pauli’s direct style is based on high-pressing, quick ball recoveries and transitions to score and a good set piece strategy.
  • Hamburg, meanwhile, prefer to play with the ball on the ground, using the width of the pitch to manipulate the tempo of the game and a back three to defend with discipline.
  • The last three derbies have been very close affairs, with one win apiece and a draw, while HSV will be looking to avenge the 2-0 defeat they suffered at home to St. Pauli just four months ago.

Key Players

Andreas Hountondji is St. Pauli’s top scorer in the Bundesliga with 4 goals in 12 appearances , which doesn’t give them a lot of attacking threat, while Albert Sambi Lokonga has 4 goals in 13 Bundesliga appearances for HSV, who are much more likely to control the game with the ball.


Betting Insights

  • St. Pauli are slight favourites with the bookmakers at 2.42, while HSV are 2.96 and the draw is 3.15.
  • Both Teams To Score is a decent play at 1.9 and could be the best way to go in this lively affair with chances at both ends of the field.

Prediction

However, St. Pauli are slight favorites in the match result betting, although St. Pauli can edge it in what should be a close and tense encounter.

FC St. Pauli logo

Last 16 H2H matches

  • 7
    Won
  • 5
    Draw
  • 4
    Won
Hamburger SV logo

Last Matches

  • Jan 23 2026
    Bundesliga
    Hamburger SV logo
    FC St. Pauli
    0
    Hamburger SV logo
    Hamburger SV
    0
  • Aug 29 2025
    Bundesliga
    FC St. Pauli logo
    Hamburger SV
    0
    FC St. Pauli logo
    FC St. Pauli
    2
  • May 03 2024
    2. Bundesliga
    FC St. Pauli logo
    Hamburger SV
    1
    FC St. Pauli logo
    FC St. Pauli
    0
  • Dec 01 2023
    2. Bundesliga
    Hamburger SV logo
    FC St. Pauli
    2
    Hamburger SV logo
    Hamburger SV
    2
  • Apr 21 2023
    2. Bundesliga
    FC St. Pauli logo
    Hamburger SV
    4
    FC St. Pauli logo
    FC St. Pauli
    3

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    43
    57
  • Total Shots
    8
    5
  • Shots On Target
    3
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    4
    1
  • Corners
    5
    4
  • Crosses
    21
    18
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    16
    15
  • Offsides
    0
    3
  • Fouls Committed
    15
    13
  • Counterattacks
    5
    5
  • GK Saves
    2
    3
  • Goal Kicks
    5
    6
  • Throw Ins
    23
    16
  • Treatments
    0
    2
  • Substitutions
    3
    5

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Bundesliga Predictions

FAQ

  • FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, FC St. Pauli have tallied 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. In the same span, Hamburger SV have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 season?

    In the Bundesliga 2025/2026, Danel Sinani leads the scoring for FC St. Pauli with 4 goals, while Rayan Philippe tops the charts for Hamburger SV with 5 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Bundesliga 2025/2026 season – FC St. Pauli or Hamburger SV?

    The Bundesliga 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Hamburger SV, who have shipped just 32 goals in 22 matches and kept 6 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.45.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
11
Team Logo Hamburger SV
25 22
16
Team Logo FC St. Pauli
22 23

Player Statistics

Name
Danel Sinani
4 3 2 0 20 1308
Andreas Hountondji
4 0 1 0 12 610
Martijn Kaars
3 0 1 0 20 994
Eric Smith
2 2 3 1 20 1754
Hauke Wahl
2 0 0 0 19 1665

Bundesliga Standings

11
The Hamburger SV logo
Hamburger SV
22 6 8 8 25:32 26
16
The FC St. Pauli logo
FC St. Pauli
23 5 5 13 22:40 20
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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