Stuttgart
- Stuttgart have won 10, drawn two and lost just two of their 14 Bundesliga home games in 2025-2026.
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Stuttgart come into this with mixed form - two wins and three defeats in their last five in all competitions - after they were stunned 2-0 at home by Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday night.
- Home record: 10-2-2 (W-D-L).
- Last five: two wins, three defeats.
Hamburg
- Hamburg have won just two, drawn four and lost seven of their 13 Bundesliga away games in 2025-2026.
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Hamburg have also been in mixed form - one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five - and their midweek game saw them draw 1-1 at home to Augsburg after a 3-2 away defeat to Dortmund.
- Away record: 2-4-7.
- Last five: one win, two draws, two defeats.
Head-to-Head
- Stuttgart have been the better team in the last three head-to-head encounters, winning twice and losing once, although HSV won the most recent match 2-1 at home.
- Sebastian Hoeneß has made Stuttgart the Bundesliga’s most aggressive pressing side since taking charge in April 2023.
- He sets his players up in a 4-2-3-1 system where the full-backs play high, the two pivot midfielders stay compact and a relentless pressing system is employed to force turnovers.
- Merlin Polzin’s HSV are also a pressing team but much more structural than Stuttgart in the way they deploy wing-backs to create width and change shapes to either press the opponents or soak up pressure.
Key Players
Deniz Undav is the clear pick for an anytime goal as he has scored 18 in 24 Bundesliga appearances , including four of Stuttgart’s last seven .
Betting Insights
- VfB Stuttgart are the clear favorites at 1.41 to take the three points against Hamburger SV on Sunday in a matchup that could be influenced by the different approaches of their contrasting coaches.
- The odds of 2.2 for the BTTS - No option give us a chance to back Stuttgart’s solidity or HSV’s lack of attacking penetration.
Prediction
Back the hosts to take the win and keep a clean sheet here with over 2.5 goals .
