Home - FC St. Pauli
- FC St. Pauli are winless in their last five Bundesliga matches (D2, L3) and have failed to win their last three at home (D1, L2).
- The hosts are in 16th place in the Bundesliga with 25 points from 29 games and are staring at a nerve-wracking battle to avoid relegation as a result.
- St. Pauli now try to frustrate opponents with a tight low block, relying on the midfielders to counter-attack smartly and the forwards to do some damage on the break.
- At home they have a record of W4, D4, L6 and average 1.00 goal scored per game.
Away - 1. FC Koln
- 1. FC Koln have won only two of their 14 away matches in Bundesliga 2025-2026 (D5, L7), but have drawn their last two.
- The Billy Goats are in 13th with 30 points from 29 matches, and they enjoy a slight buffer above the drop zone.
- The tactics Wagner has installed are more vertical and rely on quick combinations out wide rather than the patient build-up play of recent seasons.
- Said El Mala has been in particularly good form of late, netting three goals in his last five appearances for the club.
- That has been a major factor in the team’s recent improvement, which has seen them score nine times in their last five matches.
Recent meetings
- The 1-1 draw at Koln four months ago in the reverse fixture could be a similar story when they next face off at St. Pauli.
- Koln’s 3-1 home win over Werder Bremen was followed by a 2-2 draw at Eintracht Frankfurt in their most recent away match, which means they have drawn back-to-back games away from home.
1. FC Koln
Said El Mala leads the way for 1. FC Koln with 11 Bundesliga goals in 29 appearances , and has three in his last five games.
FC St. Pauli
Danel Sinani leads the line for St. Pauli with only five goals in 26 Bundesliga appearances , but the Montenegrin midfielder does have the pace and guile to cause problems for a Koln team that likes to play on the front foot.
Betting Insights
- FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Koln are likely to produce an end-to-end game when they meet at Millerntor on Friday, with plenty of evidence to suggest that both teams will score.
- But Over 2.5 goals at 2.1 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.83 are also recommended bets.
- An away win at 2.82 was mentioned as value in the build-up to the match.
Prediction
- It seems likely that these two sides will play out a similarly close match in Hamburg, with goals at both ends.
- Back Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals as the primary play, with Koln at 2.82 as a secondary value bet.
