Empoli (home)
- Empoli average 1.70 goals per game scored and 1.10 goals per game conceded at home in Serie B 2025-2026.
- Empoli’s home form has been patchy with one draw and a defeat in their last two at the Castellani.
Sudtirol (away)
- Sudtirol have yet to win away this season, drawing 8 and losing 2 of their 10 road fixtures.
- Sudtirol, 14th in the standings with 19 points from as many games, have been in steady but unspectacular form of late with one win, three draws and a defeat from their last five.
- Fabrizio Castori’s side are organised and tough to break down, especially away from home.
Empoli
Marco Nasti is in great form for Empoli with two goals in their last four and two in his last five appearances, but Stiven Shpendi (six goals in 17 Serie B appearances in 2025-2026) remains their most reliable goal threat.
Sudtirol
Raphael Odogwu has chipped in with two of Sudtirol’s last four goals and can provide a physical presence up front, while Silvio Merkaj, with four goals in 18 Serie B outings, is the White and Reds’ top scorer and often a direct outlet.
Betting Insights
- Empoli are favorites with the oddsmakers at 2.28 for Saturday’s clash with FC Sudtirol Bolzano, but the visitors and the draw both have similar prices of 3.15.
- An Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.65 seems to make sense for a cagey clash where Empoli will dominate possession and Sudtirol will look to frustrate and strike on the break.
Prediction
A clash between Dionisi’s high-tempo, possession-oriented system and Castori’s pragmatic, organised 3-5-2 is intriguing, but Empoli’s home record, the visitors’ away troubles and the hosts’ proactive, aggressive approach should see them edge a close game.
