Bari (home)
- Bari have won one of their last five Serie B games (D2, L2).
- Bari are winless in their last two at home (D1, L1).
- They are 19th in Serie B with 25 points from 27 games.
- Since Moreno Longo took charge of the club on January 19, 2026, he has brought back some defensive discipline to the team and set up in more pragmatic 3-5-2 or 3-4-1-2 systems.
Empoli (away)
- Empoli are winless in their last five (D3, L2) after three consecutive draws.
- Empoli have won just four of their 12 away games in Serie B, drawing one and losing seven.
- They’ve conceded 21 goals on the road at an average of 1.75 per game.
Head-to-Head
Empoli won the reverse fixture 5-0 three months ago, dominating the game and dictating possession.
Key Players
- Stiven Shpendi is Empoli’s in form scorer, netting nine Serie B goals in 24 appearances, including three in his last five.
- Gabriele Moncini has been Bari’s most reliable scorer this season, netting seven times in 26 Serie B appearances.
Betting Insights
- Empoli are the slight favorites at 2.6, with Bari listed at 2.78 and a draw at 3.05.
- We’ll avoid the match result markets and look to the goals markets.
- Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.62.
Prediction
- Empoli to extend their head-to-head advantage over Bari.
- Since Alessio Dionisi took over Empoli in October 2025, he has instilled a clear possession-based style which allows the players to play vertically and press the ball aggressively when out of possession.
- Their narrow, midfield-dominated 4-3-3 system has created a solid defensive structure at the back, but has often seen Empoli dominate games like the reverse fixture.
