Carrarese (home)
- Nicola Antonio Calabro has done a fine job since taking over in January 2024, developing a disciplined, hard-working team that has enough tactical flexibility to change shape and approach in games.
- The Aquilotti currently sit 9th in Serie B 2025-2026 with 29 points from 22 games, one more than Sudtirol in 10th.
- Carrarese’s results are pretty solid with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five and they are favoured with odds of 2.48, while the visitors are 3.0.
- Carrarese have averaged 1.45 goals per game this season at home with five wins, four draws and only two defeats.
- Carrarese are a high-energy, high-press team but will still look to remain compact and tight for long periods.
- They are more likely to be the team that wins the odd transitional battle because of their energy and this could come down to who wins the second-ball battles and who profits from set pieces.
Sudtirol (away)
- Sudtirol are the team in the better form, but their away form in Serie B isn’t as convincing as Carrarese’s home form.
- The Biancorossi have won only one, drawn eight and lost only two of their 11 away games with an average of 1.09 goals per away game conceded.
- In Fabrizio Castori, the Biancorossi have found a coach who has brought some much-needed defensive stability since his appointment in December 2024.
- They play a pragmatic, stability-first style with a very compact defensive block, preferring to hit opponents on the counter-attack or through set pieces.
- It is perhaps a little surprising that Carrarese are the favourites here given Sudtirol have won their last four and four of their last five.
Head-to-Head
Carrarese are unbeaten in the last three head-to-head matchups (Won 1, Drawn 2) after taking a point away at Sudtirol's ground.
Key Players
- Fabio Abiuso: eight Serie B goals in 21 appearances and he has scored three of their last seven.
- Emanuele Pecorino: stepped up with three of Sudtirol’s last eight goals.
- Silvio Merkaj: leads the way with six goals from 21 appearances.
Betting Insights
We think the Under 2.5 goals bet at 1.7 has a lot of value here given the defensive approaches of both sides and the respective results they have achieved in the recent past.
Prediction
We believe Carrarese have the home advantage and a statistical edge so we will take them at the slightly favorable odds available.
