Venezia
- Venezia have won four of their last five Serie B matches, and their last two consecutively.
- Venezia have won 11 and lost just two of their 13 home Serie B games this season.
- Since taking charge of Venezia, Giovanni Stroppa has instilled a pragmatic, structured approach, using a back three, which allows his wide wing-backs to provide overloads and his team to transition quickly.
Avellino
- Avellino have won just two of their 13 away Serie B fixtures, with five draws and six defeats.
- Avellino have posted just one win in the same period, with one draw and three defeats, leaving them 14th with 29 points.
- Davide Ballardini’s Avellino are a much more compact and low-tempo outfit, which disrupts the rhythm of opponents and allows them to counter-attack quickly with direct play.
Head-to-Head
The two teams last met in Serie B, and Avellino held Venezia to a 1-1 draw at home, showing they can frustrate their hosts.
Key Players
- Venezia’s top scorer with 13 goals in 24 Serie B appearances, Adorante will need to be watched closely on Tuesday.
- Avellino’s greatest threat is Tommaso Biasci, who has scored 11 goals in 24 Serie B outings, but four of those have come in Avellino’s last six, so they will need the hot-streak striker to fire them to a positive result on Tuesday.
Betting Insights
- The odds reflect this, with the hosts available at 1.4, Avellino at 7.2 and the draw at 4.6.
- There is a little value in backing over 2.5 goals.
- Venezia score an average of 2.15 goals per home game in Serie B, and have only conceded 0.77 goals per game, which shows their fortress mentality.
- Avellino’s average of 0.92 scored and 1.54 conceded per away game shows their travel sickness in Serie B.
Prediction
- The clash of Stroppa’s wide game against Ballardini’s compact block will be a tactical chess match, and the wide overloads should prove decisive in favour of the home side.
- The stats and the recent form point to a home win, and Ballardini’s team may not have the quality to snatch anything from this matchup.
