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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Swansea City logo
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Derby County logo
Championship
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Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City
vs
Derby County
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Swansea City logo

Last 14 H2H matches

  • 5
    Won
  • 4
    Draw
  • 5
    Won
Derby County logo

Swansea City vs Derby County Predictions

Swansea (home)

  • Swansea City boss Alan Sheehan has led the Swans to just one win, one draw and three defeats in his last five Championship games.
  • City remain in 18th spot with just 17 points from their 15 Championship matches this season and the pressure is building on Sheehan to deliver after he was appointed in February 2025.
  • He has taken a more compact approach that focuses on solidity over style and has made the Swans less easy to beat, but more difficult to watch according to our Swansea City vs Derby County betting tips.
  • Swansea’s goalscoring problems remain as Zan Vipotnik continues to be their main hope.
  • The veteran forward has scored six goals in 13 appearances this term and has bagged two of Swansea’s last five goals in a faltering attack.
    • Recent form:
      • One win, one draw and three defeats in the last five under Sheehan.

Derby (away)

  • Derby County are enjoying a mini-revival in the Championship, riding a five-game winning streak to sit 10th in the table with 23 points from 15 games.
  • Derby have been particularly good away from home of late, winning two and losing none of their last two away league games, and have scored 10 goals in seven away matches.
  • Carlton Morris is leading the line for Derby and the striker has 10 goals in 15 Championship appearances this term, making him one of the division’s top marksmen and a focus for any Swansea City vs Derby County betting tips.
  • Morris has been particularly hot of late and has scored six of Derby’s nine goals during their five-game win streak, although Joe Ward has added some creativity to the side with three assists in the last five.
    • Recent form:
      • Five consecutive wins and strong away scoring numbers.

Head-to-Head

  • Swansea have won their last two meetings with Derby County, including a 1-0 victory at home seven months ago.
  • Derby have not won away to Swansea in recent meetings, but they look ready to roll and have the clinical edge to edge this game out against a team that is desperate for three points, making the Swansea City vs Derby County betting tips particularly interesting for this clash.

Key Players

  • Swansea:
    • Zan Vipotnik - The veteran forward has scored six goals in 13 appearances this term and has bagged two of Swansea’s last five goals.
  • Derby:
    • Carlton Morris - The striker has 10 goals in 15 Championship appearances and has hit six of Derby’s nine goals during their current win streak.
    • Joe Ward - Has added creativity with three assists in the last five.

Betting Insights

  • Swansea are in a bad spot and have won just one of their last three home league games, suffering consecutive defeats to Preston North End (2-1) and Ipswich Town (1-4). Our Swansea City vs Derby County prediction suggests the visitors could capitalize on this poor run.
  • The visitors are priced up at 3.48, which is the best value of this matchup, while the draw at 3.15 is also appealing.
  • The favorite price for Swansea, 2.16, is far too short for a team that has lost two of their last three home games.
  • Given the form of Morris and his teammates, the Both Teams To Score market also looks attractive at 2.01.
  • Swansea have conceded 13 times in eight home games this year and this has the potential to be an end-to-end game.

Prediction

Derby have been better on their travels this year, however, and we are going for the Rams.

Swansea City vs Derby County Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.60
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Derby County
    Won
    Explanation
    • Derby County has 23 points and far better recent results, while Swansea City sits on 17 points this season.
    • Derby County averages 1.33 goals per game (20 total) versus Swansea City's 1.0, giving Derby County the scoring edge.
    • Though Swansea City won the last H2H matches, Derby County is on a five-match winning run and looks in stronger form.
  • Tipped at
    2.38
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Swansea City home matches average 2.75 total goals and Derby County overall average is 2.6, pointing above 2.5 goals.
    • Derby County recent wins include scores like 2-1 and 3-1, showing they are involved in multi-goal games.
    • Combined season totals (34 and 39 goals) and open defenses for both teams suggest a high-scoring match.
  • Tipped at
    2.03
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with Swansea City have seen both teams score 52.94% overall and 66.67% at home, favoring BTTS.
    • Derby County sees both teams score in 58.82% of games and 62.5% of their away matches, so they often concede too.
    • Derby County scored in each of their last five wins while Swansea City has scored in recent games, implying both will score.

Swansea City vs Derby County Last Matches

Swansea City vs Derby County Live Stats

Swansea City vs Derby County Live Stats

  • Possession
    73
    27
  • Total Shots
    9
    13
  • Shots On Target
    4
    5
  • Shots Off Target
    1
    6
  • Corners
    4
    2
  • Yellow Cards
    0
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    20
    10
  • Offsides
    0
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    10
    20
  • GK Saves
    3
    3

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Championship Predictions

09 DEC TUESDAY

10 DEC WEDNESDAY

FAQ

  • Swansea City vs Derby County – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Swansea City have tallied 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses. In the same span, Derby County have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Swansea City vs Derby County fixture?

    During the last Swansea City vs Derby County encounter, the goals came from Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, Ethan Galbraith, Joe Ward.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Swansea City and Derby County in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Zan Vipotnik leads the scoring for Swansea City with 7 goals, while Carlton Morris tops the charts for Derby County with 10 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Swansea City or Derby County?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Swansea City, who have shipped just 27 goals in 19 matches and kept 4 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.42.

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Swansea City vs Derby County Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
15
Team Logo Derby County
26 19
20
Team Logo Swansea City
20 19

Player Statistics

Name
Zan Vipotnik
7 1 1 0 17 989
Ronald Pereira
3 1 1 0 19 1335
Ethan Galbraith
2 1 4 0 19 1567
Goncalo Franco
2 2 3 0 18 1329
Adam Idah
2 1 1 0 15 556

Championship Standings

15
The Derby County logo
Derby County
19 7 5 7 26:28 26
20
The Swansea City logo
Swansea City
19 5 5 9 20:27 20
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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