Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Stoke logo
2 - 1
Full-Time
Swansea City logo
Championship
England
/
Championship
/
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
vs
Swansea City
Preview

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Stoke vs Swansea City Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.83
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Stoke
    Won
    Explanation
    • Stoke has 9 wins this season versus Swansea City's 5, so Stoke shows stronger form for this home tie.
    • Stoke averages 1.67 goals at home while conceding only 0.78 there, giving them a clear home advantage.
    • Recent head-to-head favors Stoke: they won 3-1 at home recently and hold more H2H victories overall.
  • Tipped at
    1.77
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Matches involving Stoke average 2.32 total goals this season, which is below the 2.5 goals threshold.
    • Stoke home games average 2.44 total goals and Swansea City away games average 2.22, both figures under 2.5.
    • Head-to-head includes low-scoring draws like 0-0 and 1-1, indicating this fixture can produce fewer goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.85
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Swansea City has both teams scoring in 50% of matches (40% away), making it likely they will score here as visitors.
    • Stoke sees BTTS in 33% overall and 40% at home; combined trends point to both sides finding the net.
    • In the last 5 H2H three games had both teams score (two 3-1 wins and a 1-1), showing these meetings often produce goals.

Predictions

Stoke

  • Stoke are 6th in the Championship table with 30 points from 19 games.
  • The hosts have been a much more solid unit under Mark Robins since he took charge in January 2025 and they have impressed many with their pragmatic, well-drilled style that relies on solidity, transitions and set-pieces rather than dominance in possession, according to our Stoke vs Swansea City betting tips.
  • Stoke have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their 9 Championship home games.
  • The Potters have had an excellent home record in the league, winning five of nine matches, but it has slipped recently with just one win in their last three at the bet365, which is a concern highlighted in the latest Stoke vs Swansea City betting tips.
  • Stoke’s average of 1.67 goals scored per home match and 0.78 goals conceded per home game in the Championship indicates they are a solid team at the bet365.

Swansea

  • Swansea City occupy 20th place with 20 points after 19 games.
  • Swansea have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • Swansea have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their 9 away matches.
  • Swansea, in contrast, play a very modern high-tempo, possession-based system with a high-press and a fast, positional build-up from the back that has been implemented by their coach, Vitor Matos, since November 2025.
  • Swansea have won only one of their last five and that was against Oxford United at home.
  • The Swans have scored only eight times on their 9 Championship road trips this season and their away form is a big reason why they are languishing in the bottom three. For those considering Stoke vs Swansea City betting tips, Swansea’s poor away record stands out as a critical factor.

Key Players

  • The most reliable source of Stoke goals this season has been the pace of winger Sorba Thomas, who has 7 in 19 Championship appearances and has scored 3 of his side’s last 5.
  • Zan Vipotnik is Swansea's most consistent scoring threat with 7 goals from 17 appearances, but they could use an extra spark in the front line while Ethan Galbraith has chipped in with 2 of Swansea's last 6.

Betting Insights

  • There is an obvious class divide between Stoke and Swansea City in the Championship 2025/2026 season and the home team are rightly the bookies’ favourites at 1.82 for this Saturday’s clash at the bet365 Stadium.
  • Swansea are priced at 4.38 to win this one and the draw is available at 3.45.
  • Given that Swansea have struggled to find the net on the road and Stoke’s recent home form has dipped, it could be wise to back the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ option at 1.78 instead of the hosts to get the job done.

Prediction

  • But Stoke have also won only once in their last five and lost four, so the draw looks the least likely outcome of this clash, which frames the Stoke vs Swansea City prediction for a closely contested match.
  • Back Under 2.5 goals and lean towards Stoke to edge a tight game.
Stoke logo

Last 29 H2H matches

  • 15
    Won
  • 6
    Draw
  • 8
    Won
Swansea City logo

Last Matches

  • Dec 13 2025
    Championship
    Swansea City logo
    Stoke
    2
    Swansea City logo
    Swansea City
    1
  • Feb 15 2025
    Championship
    Swansea City logo
    Stoke
    3
    Swansea City logo
    Swansea City
    1
  • Oct 05 2024
    Championship
    Stoke logo
    Swansea City
    0
    Stoke logo
    Stoke
    0
  • Apr 10 2024
    Championship
    Stoke logo
    Swansea City
    3
    Stoke logo
    Stoke
    0
  • Dec 12 2023
    Championship
    Swansea City logo
    Stoke
    1
    Swansea City logo
    Swansea City
    1

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    41
    59
  • Total Shots
    9
    14
  • Shots On Target
    5
    6
  • Shots Off Target
    4
    5
  • Corners
    6
    7
  • Yellow Cards
    3
    4
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    14
    16
  • Offsides
    4
    3
  • Fouls Committed
    16
    14
  • GK Saves
    4
    3

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Championship Predictions

06 MAR FRIDAY

07 MAR SATURDAY

08 MAR SUNDAY

FAQ

  • Stoke vs Swansea City – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Stoke have tallied 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses. In the same span, Swansea City have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Stoke vs Swansea City fixture?

    During the last Stoke vs Swansea City encounter, the goals came from Thomas Sorba, Benjamin David Pearson, Zan Vipotnik.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Stoke and Swansea City in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Sorba Thomas leads the scoring for Stoke with 9 goals, while Zan Vipotnik tops the charts for Swansea City with 16 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Stoke or Swansea City?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Stoke, who have shipped just 34 goals in 35 matches and kept 12 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.97.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
14
Team Logo Stoke
39 35
16
Team Logo Swansea City
40 35

Player Statistics

Name
Sorba Thomas
9 8 7 0 35 3070
Million Manhoef
5 3 1 0 34 2213
Divin Mubama
5 1 3 1 25 1603
Lewis Baker
4 1 1 0 12 995
Ben Wilmot
3 0 5 0 33 2880

Championship Standings

14
The Stoke logo
Stoke
35 13 8 14 39:34 47
16
The Swansea City logo
Swansea City
35 13 7 15 40:43 46
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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