RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig have won 7 of their 9 Bundesliga home games in 2025-26 and scored 22 goals.
- RB Leipzig are the big favorites at 1.52 to beat an out-of-form 1. FSV Mainz 05 team that are in 16th place in the Bundesliga with only 15 points from 19 games.
- RB Leipzig have been more successful so far, sitting fifth in the Bundesliga table with 35 points from 18 matches.
- Ole Werner’s appointment as Leipzig boss in July 2025 has been a great fit for the Red Bull culture as he has instilled a high-tempo, pressing game upon the club.
- Leipzig will line up in a 4-3-3 system that features a high press, rapid vertical transitions and positional rotations to stretch the opposition defence.
- Leipzig bounced back from a humiliating 1-5 home defeat to Bayern Munich at the end of last year with a 3-0 win at Heidenheim just three days later.
- They should have the quality and home advantage to beat Mainz again this weekend, although their home form has dipped with only one win from their last three Bundesliga games at Red Bull Arena.
Mainz 05
- Mainz 05 have won 1 of their last 9 Bundesliga away games, conceding an average of 2.11 goals per game on the road.
- Mainz have picked up momentum with two wins, two draws and just one defeat from their last five matches.
- Mainz under Urs Fischer, who took over in December 2025, has been more pragmatic, disciplined and defensive in nature.
- He sets up his teams in a 3-5-2 that can be very compact and solid in their defensive third and then press selectively when the ball is in wide areas.
- Fischer’s side have been much improved at home since his appointment, including a 3-1 win over Wolfsburg last time out, but they have failed to win in their last two away trips.
Head-to-Head
Leipzig won the last Bundesliga head-to-head between the two clubs 0-1 away at Mainz four months ago, but this fixture has produced two wins apiece and a draw in the last five meetings.
Key Players
- RB Leipzig’s Christoph Baumgartner has scored 6 Bundesliga goals in 18 appearances, one every three games.
- Nadiem Amiri is Mainz’s main goal threat with six goals in 16 Bundesliga appearances and four of the club’s last ten.
- Jae-Sung Lee has supplied the assists recently, with three in Mainz 05’s last five.
Betting Insights
- RB Leipzig are the big favorites at 1.52.
- The visitors are outsiders at 5.6.
- Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.5.
Prediction
The home advantage will most likely ensure the momentum goes Leipzig’s way.
