St. Pauli
- St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last two Bundesliga home games (W1, D1).
- The Bremen-based side are 16th, on 19 points from 22 games, while St. Pauli are one place and two points worse off in 17th.
- However, St. Pauli are the form favourites of the two sides, after recording a win, a draw and three defeats from their last five games (W1, D1, L3).
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Recent stats:
- Conceded 1.70 goals per game at home in Bundesliga 2025/2026 (W3, D3, L4).
- St. Pauli’s last three competitive results have been a 3-0 defeat in the DFB Pokal to Leverkusen, a 2-1 Bundesliga win against Stuttgart at home and a 4-0 Bundesliga defeat to Leverkusen.
Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen have had a poor start to 2026, failing to win any of their last five matches (D1, L4), and will need to improve fast if they are to pull themselves out of the Bundesliga 2025-2026 relegation zone.
- Werder Bremen have lost their last two away games in Bundesliga 2025/2026.
- Daniel Thioune took over as Werder Bremen manager in February 2026 and has overseen a tactical transition to a more vertical, ball-on-the-ground style of play.
- Werder Bremen’s last three results have been a 1-1 home draw against Gladbach, a 1-0 away defeat to Freiburg and a 3-0 home defeat to Bayern Munich.
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Recent stats:
- Werder Bremen have scored under a goal per away game (W1, D3, L7).
Head-to-Head
- Werder Bremen have won two of the last four head-to-head meetings and St. Pauli have won none (two draws).
- The last time these sides met was in a friendly club match six weeks ago.
- Werder Bremen will travel to St. Pauli Stadium with a small psychological edge in this game after picking up a goalless draw at St. Pauli’s home six weeks ago in a friendly.
- St. Pauli have failed to win any of their last two home games against Bremen.
Key Players
- Both teams have struggled to score recently but Danel Sinani has scored two of St. Pauli’s last four goals and should be the main man up top in Bremen’s defence on Sunday.
- A single goal could be enough for either side to nick it, but St. Pauli’s Andreas Hountondji (4 goals in 12 Bundesliga appearances) and Bremen’s Jens Stage (6 goals in 20 Bundesliga 2025-2026 outings) could be the difference here.
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Player stats:
- Danel Sinani - two of St. Pauli’s last four goals.
- Andreas Hountondji - 4 goals in 12 Bundesliga appearances.
- Jens Stage - 6 goals in 20 Bundesliga 2025-2026 outings.
Betting Insights
- St. Pauli have failed to win any of their last two home games against Bremen and the fact that both sides are on poor runs and nearly identical odds for the win (2.7) suggests that the draw might be the way to go here at 3.05.
- I am taking the draw at 3.05 as my main selection with a low-scoring draw looking the most likely outcome.
- With a likely close game and both out-of-form sides, ‘Both Teams To Score - No’ and ‘Over 2.5 Goals - No’ will be taken at 1.91 and 2.3, respectively, for smaller stakes.
Prediction
- A tight game looks on the cards on Sunday as both sides are desperate for the three points.
- Main prediction: Draw at 3.05.
- Secondary picks: Both Teams To Score - No (1.91) and Over 2.5 Goals - No (2.3).
