Necaxa
In the opening rounds of this Apertura, they have been exposed defensively at times but are finding their groove after back-to-back wins, a 4-1 home blowout of Atlético San Luis and a 2-1 win at Juárez.
Toluca
- Toluca are unbeaten in five league games (W3, D2) after a run of close wins and two shutouts.
- The Turco’s team are a relentless side in their current mood and are able to blend discipline and organization with high-energy pressing and direct, high-tempo attacks from the flanks.
Head-to-Head
Toluca have won four of the last five meetings between the clubs, including two high-scoring Liga MX fixtures in 2025.
Toluca
Paulinho, who recently scored against Cruz Azul, is the focal point of their attack, but Helinho and Sebastián Córdova provide the directness and end product in the attacking third, while the latter adds creative spark.
Necaxa
Julián Carranza leads the attack as their top scorer and will be a constant threat in transition.
Betting Insights
- Antonio ‘Turco’ Mohamed’s Toluca are clear favorites at 1.66 with Necaxa the 4.9 outsiders and the draw priced at 3.8.
- Both teams to Score, priced at 2.05, is an option to take because of the history of open games between the teams.
Prediction
- Toluca’s recent title momentum and winning culture makes them the best pick here, although the altitude at Estadio Victoria and passion of the home crowd will make it difficult for the away side and may just tip the balance in Necaxa’s favour in terms of stamina and the flow of play.
- A 2-1 away win is the preferred correct score prediction, although the 1-1 stalemate has a better chance than Necaxa’s 2-0 home win.
