Napoli (Home)
- Napoli are unbeaten at home in the UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 (2 wins, 1 draw).
- Napoli average 1.33 goals per game at home, conceding 0.33.
- Antonio Conte has made his mark on his new team, who are a well-organised and tough team to break down at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
- Conte’s side have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 in all competitions.
- But at home, they’ve won 2 and drawn 1 of 3 Champions League matches.
Chelsea (Away)
- Chelsea have failed to win any of their 3 Champions League 2025-2026 away games (1 draw, 2 losses).
- Liam Rosenior has overseen a 3-game winning streak in his fledgling career as manager of Chelsea.
- The Blues have also won 3 of their last 5 in all competitions, after a 2-0 home win against Brentford, a 1-0 Champions League victory over Pafos FC, and a 3-1 away win at Crystal Palace.
- It has worked, as Chelsea have scored 6 goals in their last 3 games, and 1.33 on the road in the Champions League.
Key Players
- Estevao has impressed, making his runs, finding the gaps and supplying the end product.
- Scott McTominay is Napoli’s talisman, the Scotsman is their greatest threat in the offensive third and the most consistent goalscorer.
- McTominay has scored 4 goals in 7 Champions League appearances this season, and he has netted 3 of Napoli's last 5 goals in all competitions, with Napoli needing to match Chelsea’s star if they’re to qualify.
Betting Insights
- Chelsea are the slight favorites at 2.26, with Napoli at 3.0 and the draw at 3.4.
- While we think that Chelsea should win, Napoli’s unbeaten home record in the competition, coupled with their resurgence under Conte, makes us want to play it a little safer here.
- Both Teams To Score at 2.15 looks like an excellent value.
Prediction
While we think that Chelsea should win, Napoli’s unbeaten home record in the competition, coupled with their resurgence under Conte, makes us want to play it a little safer here.