Arsenal
- It shows in their results, particularly their consistency, which is why the Gunners have 61 points from 28 games at the top of the table.
- They have not lost any of their last five against Chelsea, who they beat 1-0 at the Emirates in the EFL Cup three weeks ago, and have a strong home record in the league this season (W10, D2, L1).
- The Arsenal defence is very disciplined, conceding just eight goals in 13 home games this season (0.62 per game average).
Chelsea
- Chelsea have had to deal with inconsistency throughout this campaign.
- They have two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five in the league, which has kept them in the European chase with 45 points from 27 games in fifth spot.
- Rosenior’s approach, which has been in place since January 2026, is a fluid system based on a 4-3-3 shape that can vary from possession-based build-up to high-tempo counters.
Head-to-Head
- Arsenal have not lost any of their last five games with Chelsea (W3, D2).
- Chelsea have split their last two away games (W1, L1).
Key Players
The Blues have scored 25 in 13 away (1.92 per game) and can hurt Arsenal on the counterattack with Palmer and Joao Pedro , who has 11 goals in 27 league games and five in his last five.
Betting Insights
- The Over 2.5 goals market at 1.7 is favored because of the goals that Chelsea can get away from home and the fact that both teams may be aiming to win this big rivalry game.
- The Arsenal defence has conceded just eight goals in 13 home games this season (0.62 per game) and Chelsea have scored 25 in 13 away (1.92 per game).
Prediction
We’re going to side with Arsenal to win because of their home dominance this term, the recent head-to-head record and their greater consistency in the league.
