Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Melbourne Victory logo
2 - 1
Full-Time
Adelaide United FC logo
A-League
Australia
/
A-League
/
AAMI Park

Melbourne Victory
vs
Adelaide United FC
Preview

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Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.73
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Adelaide United FC
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Adelaide United FC has a stronger attack and form, scoring 11 goals while Melbourne Victory has only 4 and 9 points.
    • Melbourne Victory struggles to score at home (0 goals at home, 0.0 average), so home edge looks weak for them.
    • Recent form favors Adelaide United FC: they won 3 of last 5 while Melbourne Victory has just 1 win and three recent losses.
  • Tipped at
    2.35
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Melbourne Victory's home matches average only 1.0 total goals and they have not scored at home, leaning to fewer goals.
    • Four of Melbourne Victory's last five games had two goals or fewer (0-0,0-1,0-2,2-0), suggesting low-scoring games.
    • Overall Melbourne Victory averages 2.14 combined goals per match and their home totals are especially low, favoring under 2.5.
  • Tipped at
    2.50
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Melbourne Victory failed to score in four of their last five matches, making it likely they won't score here.
    • Matches with Melbourne Victory see both teams score only 11.11% of the time and 0% when they play at home.
    • Although Adelaide United FC score regularly (11 total), Melbourne Victory's home scoring drought (0 goals) makes BTTS unlikely.

Predictions

Melbourne Victory

  • Melbourne Victory have struggled to get off the mark in the A-League 2025-2026 season and find themselves at the bottom of the table with just five points from their first seven games.
  • In terms of our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC betting tips, Victory have failed to win any of their two home games this season, averaging 0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per-game.
  • Arthur Diles, who took over as manager in December 2024, has made the side much more progressive than in the past, pressing the ball with much more intent and playing a more possession-based brand of football that suits the fans.

Adelaide United

  • Adelaide United have lost each of their three away games in the A-League this season, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per-game on the road.
  • Airton Andrioli took over at the start of May 2025 and has immediately installed a clear identity for his side, which is to play an attack-minded, flexible system which allows for wide creativity, inside runs and a dynamic tempo when in possession, coupled with high pressing when out of possession.

Head-to-Head

The Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC prediction shows that Victory have the upper hand in this fixture and enter as slight favorites , while Adelaide have lost all three of their away games so far this term.


Key Players

  • Victory line up in a 4-3-3 system, looking to overload the wide areas and create chances through creativity from their midfielders.
  • Players to watch:
    • Luka Jovanovic has found the net three times in seven A-League games and has scored three of his team’s last eight goals.
    • Keegan Jelacic is Victory’s primary attacking threat with two goals in seven league games.
    • Matthew Grimaldi has been their creative spark with two assists in the same number of games.

Betting Insights

  • The ‘Heroes’ have won just one of their last five in the league (D1, L3), although they do enter as a slight favourite at 2.34.
  • The Over 2.5 goals market is extremely popular at 1.48, and the match may play out that way, but Adelaide’s away struggles and Victory’s home dominance in this rivalry point towards the hosts on the double chance option. This is another factor in our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC betting tips.

Prediction

We side with the hosts to avoid defeat, backing the double chance option in what should be a close Original Rivalry clash.

Melbourne Victory logo

Last 53 H2H matches

  • 23
    Won
  • 12
    Draw
  • 18
    Won
Adelaide United FC logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    44
    56
  • Shots On Target
    9
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    8
    2
  • Corners
    5
    5
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    0
    0
  • Offsides
    0
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    8
    9
  • GK Saves
    1
    7
  • Goal Kicks
    8
    8

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A-League Predictions

04 MAR WEDNESDAY

06 MAR FRIDAY

07 MAR SATURDAY

FAQ

  • Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Melbourne Victory have tallied 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Adelaide United FC have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC fixture?

    During the last Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC encounter, the goals came from Keegan Jelacic, Yaya Dukuly.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United FC in this A-League 2025/2026 season?

    In the A-League 2025/2026, Clarismario Rodrigus leads the scoring for Melbourne Victory with 5 goals, while Luka Jovanovic tops the charts for Adelaide United FC with 6 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this A-League 2025/2026 season – Melbourne Victory or Adelaide United FC?

    The A-League 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Melbourne Victory, who have shipped just 24 goals in 19 matches and kept 5 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.26.

Author

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
4
Team Logo Adelaide United FC
33 19
5
Team Logo Melbourne Victory
28 19

Player Statistics

Name
Nikolaos Vergos
5 1 3 0 19 1101
Clarismario Rodrigus
5 0 2 0 18 990
Keegan Jelacic
5 1 2 0 19 880
Juan Mata
3 10 1 0 19 1323
Nishan Velupillay
2 1 0 0 14 853

A-League Standings

4
The Adelaide United FC logo
Adelaide United FC
19 9 3 7 33:28 30
5
The Melbourne Victory logo
Melbourne Victory
19 8 4 7 28:24 28
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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