Melbourne Victory

1 - 1

Full-Time

vs

Adelaide United FC

Australia

/

A-League

/

AAMI Park

Preview

Melbourne Victory
vs
Adelaide United FC

Preview

Predictions
Betting Tips
H2H
Offers
League Matches
Match Facts

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC Betting Tips

Tipped at

1.63

1X2 - Ordinary Time

Melbourne Victory

Lost
Explanation
- Melbourne Victory has won 4 of 8 home matches and lost only 2 at home, showing reliable home form.
- Adelaide United FC has just 3 away wins and has conceded 13 goals on the road, suggesting away vulnerability.
- In the last 5 head-to-heads Melbourne Victory won 3 times at home, including a 5-3 win, giving a home edge.
Tipped at

1.37

Over/Under - Ordinary Time

Over 2.5

Lost
Explanation
- Adelaide United FC's matches average 3.28 total goals this season, pointing to frequent high-scoring games.
- Melbourne Victory's last five matches averaged 3.2 total goals (4,2,5,1,4), showing recent attacking action.
- Their last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.0 goals, supporting an expectation of over 2.5 goals.
Tipped at

1.46

Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time

Yes

Won
Explanation
- Adelaide United FC's away games see both teams score 87.5% of the time, indicating they often concede away.
- Melbourne Victory has both teams scoring in 50% of home matches and conceded 8 goals at home this season.
- Four of the last five head-to-heads had goals at both ends, so both teams scoring looks likely.

Predictions

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory average 1.88 goals per game and concede just 1.00 per game at home in the A-League this term.
Melbourne Victory have won four, drawn two and lost just two of their eight home games in the A-League in 2025-2026.
Victory are a possession-based side that control the tempo of the game, press their opponents well and attack with numbers through the thirds.

Adelaide United

Adelaide United average 1.50 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per away game in the A-League this season.
They arrive on the back of two consecutive away wins.
Airton Andrioli prefers his teams to attack with direct, vertical attacks, fast transitions and aggressive wing play and he’s had an immediate impact since taking over in May 2025.

Head-to-Head

The A-League’s most historically successful rivals meet again at AAMI Park.
The most recent meeting finished 2-1 five weeks ago in favour of Adelaide United.
Adelaide have failed to win any of their last three visits to Melbourne Victory.

Key Players

Melbourne Victory
- Juan Mata is the creative engine with nine assists in 18 A-League appearances and five assists in his last five matches.
- Clarismario Rodrigus leads the line with five goals in 17 A-League matches.
Adelaide United
- Luka Jovanovic leads the way with six goals in 15 A-League outings.

Betting Insights

Over 2.5 goals looks a strong bet at 1.44 given the attacking nature of both teams.
The home team have the better recent form (W3, D1, L1 over the last five) and a more solid home record to date.

Prediction

Main pick: Melbourne Victory to win.
Expect an end-to-end classic with chances at both ends.

Last 53 H2H matches

23

Won
12

Draw
18

Won

Last Matches

Feb 27 2026

A-League

Melbourne Victory

1

Adelaide United FC

1
Jan 17 2026

A-League

Adelaide United FC

2

Melbourne Victory

1
Dec 13 2025

A-League

Melbourne Victory

2

Adelaide United FC

1
Mar 29 2025

A-League

Melbourne Victory

5

Adelaide United FC

3
Jan 18 2025

A-League

Adelaide United FC

3

Melbourne Victory

2

Live Stats

Live Stats

Possession

45

55
Shots On Target

8

6
Shots Off Target

7

5
Corners

4

2
Yellow Cards

4

1
Red Cards

0

0
Free Kicks

12

8
Offsides

1

3
Fouls Committed

7

10
GK Saves

6

7
Goal Kicks

8

11

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A-League Predictions

04 MAR WEDNESDAY

2026-03-04 02:00

Home

Draw

Away
Macarthur FC

Central Coast Mariners

06 MAR FRIDAY

2026-03-06 02:35

Home

Draw

Away
Adelaide United FC

Wellington Phoenix FC

FAQ

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

Over their last 5 matches, Melbourne Victory have tallied 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Adelaide United FC have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats.
Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC fixture?

During the last Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United FC encounter, the goals came from Keegan Jelacic, Yaya Dukuly.
Who are the leading goal-getters for Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United FC in this A-League 2025/2026 season?

In the A-League 2025/2026, Clarismario Rodrigus leads the scoring for Melbourne Victory with 5 goals, while Luka Jovanovic tops the charts for Adelaide United FC with 6 goals.
Who leads defensively this A-League 2025/2026 season – Melbourne Victory or Adelaide United FC?

The A-League 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Melbourne Victory, who have shipped just 24 goals in 19 matches and kept 5 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.26.

Author

Garry Pulley

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10+ Years of Experience

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Updated on Monday, 23 Feb 2026

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Stats


1	Newcastle United Jets	41	19
2	Auckland FC	32	19
3	Sydney FC	26	19
4	Adelaide United FC	33	19
5	Melbourne Victory	28	19
6	Macarthur FC	24	19
7	Central Coast Mariners	24	18
8	Brisbane Roar FC	19	20
9	Melbourne City FC	20	19
10	Perth Glory	22	19
11	Western Sydney Wanderers	21	19
12	Wellington Phoenix FC	28	19

Player Statistics

Name
Nikolaos Vergos	5	1	3	0	19	1101
Clarismario Rodrigus	5	0	2	0	18	990
Keegan Jelacic	5	1	2	0	19	880
Juan Mata	3	10	1	0	19	1323
Nishan Velupillay	2	1	0	0	14	853

Name
Luka Jovanovic	6	3	1	0	16	1167
Jonny Yull	4	3	0	0	18	1204
Ryan Kitto	3	1	0	0	18	1585
Craig Goodwin	3	3	3	0	15	1157
Brody Burkitt	3	1	1	0	7	248

A-League Standings


1	Newcastle United Jets	19	12	1	6	41:29	37
2	Auckland FC	19	10	5	4	32:18	35
3	Sydney FC	19	10	2	7	26:18	32
4	Adelaide United FC	19	9	3	7	33:28	30
5	Melbourne Victory	19	8	4	7	28:24	28
6	Macarthur FC	19	6	7	6	24:28	25
7	Central Coast Mariners	18	6	5	7	24:26	23
8	Brisbane Roar FC	20	6	5	9	19:25	23
9	Melbourne City FC	19	5	7	7	20:27	22
10	Perth Glory	19	6	3	10	22:30	21
11	Western Sydney Wanderers	19	5	5	9	21:26	20
12	Wellington Phoenix FC	19	5	5	9	28:39	20
1	Newcastle United Jets	9	5	0	4	22:16	15
2	Auckland FC	9	5	2	2	15:10	17
3	Sydney FC	8	5	1	2	14:6	16
4	Adelaide United FC	10	6	1	3	20:14	19
5	Melbourne Victory	9	4	3	2	16:9	15
6	Macarthur FC	10	3	4	3	14:17	13
7	Central Coast Mariners	10	3	4	3	12:12	13
8	Brisbane Roar FC	9	3	2	4	9:11	11
9	Melbourne City FC	9	3	2	4	10:10	11
10	Perth Glory	10	3	1	6	10:13	10
11	Western Sydney Wanderers	10	3	4	3	10:11	13
12	Wellington Phoenix FC	11	3	2	6	15:22	11
1	Newcastle United Jets	10	7	1	2	19:13	22
2	Auckland FC	10	5	3	2	17:8	18
3	Sydney FC	11	5	1	5	12:12	16
4	Adelaide United FC	9	3	2	4	13:14	11
5	Melbourne Victory	10	4	1	5	12:15	13
6	Macarthur FC	9	3	3	3	10:11	12
7	Central Coast Mariners	8	3	1	4	12:14	10
8	Brisbane Roar FC	11	3	3	5	10:14	12
9	Melbourne City FC	10	2	5	3	10:17	11
10	Perth Glory	9	3	2	4	12:17	11
11	Western Sydney Wanderers	9	2	1	6	11:15	7
12	Wellington Phoenix FC	8	2	3	3	13:17	9

Glossary

MP: Matches Played
W: Wins
D: Draws
L: Losses
G: Goals
P: Points

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