Mazatlán FC
- Mazatlan FC are in 17th place with only 11 points in the Clausura 2026 table.
- Mazatlán are on a desperate run of one win in five, conceding three to Pumas in their most recent match and two to América the week before.
- Sergio Bueno took over in January 2026 and has struggled to stabilize a disrupted squad amid the club's transition.
- There will be an added urgency to their play and with home advantage, the home fans could make a big difference to the game and make their team dangerous on the counterattack.
Toluca
- Toluca are unbeaten in their last five in all competitions, thumping Necaxa 5-1 and Pumas 4-2.
- Mohamed has Toluca 5th in the Clausura 2026 Liga MX table with 27 points - firmly in the top group and with a good chance of qualifying directly for the Liguilla.
- Mohamed gets his team to press high up the field and get his wide or inverted forwards forward, and his team has scored roughly twice as many goals as Mazatlán in recent encounters.
Head-to-Head
- Toluca have won seven of the last 12 head-to-head meetings with Mazatlan in all competitions.
- The 12 most recent head-to-head contests have typically produced Over 2.5 goals.
Key Players
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Mazatlán
- Jaziel Ovalle is Mazatlán’s top scorer with three to four goals.
- Facundo Almada and Édgar Bárcenas offer a threat with their set-pieces and forward runs.
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Toluca
- Paulinho, their current top scorer, is in contention for the Golden Boot.
- Helinho and Jorge Gallardo provide plenty of creativity and assist opportunities.
- Toluca are also missing the creative spark of Marcel Ruiz due to a long-term ACL injury.
Betting Insights
- Bookmakers list Toluca at 1.46 and Mazatlán at 5.93.
- Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.48 and Both teams to score at 1.64.
- The odds may be skewed because of the sentimental value of this being Mazatlán’s final Liga MX season before the franchise is moved.
- The head-to-head history and recent form point toward an open, high-scoring affair.
Prediction
- Backing Toluca to win and Both teams to score.
- Expect Over 2.5 goals based on recent head-to-head trends and both teams' attacking threats.
- Toluca should be able to take maximum points despite missing Marcel Ruiz.
