Pachuca CF

vs

Deportivo Toluca FC

Preview

Pachuca

• Pachuca are in the ascendancy with a 1-0 aggregate lead after a gritty win in last week’s first-leg in Toluca.
• Pachuca finished one point ahead of Toluca in 4th place in the Clausura 2026 regular season.
• Esteban Solari’s men like to press high, get the ball back in wide areas and release their forwards and wide midfielders at pace.
• Elías Montiel, a creative force, could be the lynchpin to Pachuca’s success in this game as he links midfield and attack.
• They will have the mental edge of last week’s win over Toluca and there will be no easy way back for the visitors on Sunday.

Toluca

• Toluca finished the regular season in 5th place with 30 points, just one fewer than Pachuca.
• The advantage Toluca had of going straight into the quarter-finals while juggling league and CONCACAF Champions Cup duties may test their squad depth.
• Alexis Vega and Jesús Angulo are facing injury and selection doubts for this crucial tie.
• The visitors are slight favorites for Sunday’s single match at 2.06, but Pachuca are available at 3.25 with an aggregate lead and home field advantage.

Head-to-Head

• The recent head-to-head record in Liga MX has seen several draws and narrow results.
• Pachuca beat Toluca in the Apertura 2022 final.

Pachuca

• Enner Valencia is Pachuca’s talisman and has been their key goalscorer in the knockout rounds.
• Elías Montiel, a creative force, could be the lynchpin as he links midfield and attack.

Toluca

• Paulinho is the fulcrum of Toluca’s attack and is their leading scorer in Liga MX as well as the CONCACAF Champions Cup.
• Alexis Vega and Jesús Angulo face injury and selection doubts for the tie.

Betting Insights

• The visitors are slight favorites at 2.06, while Pachuca are available at 3.25.
• The Both teams to score - Yes market is available at 1.5.

Prediction

• Back Pachuca to clinch a semi-final berth.
• Pachuca have the home field advantage, the aggregate lead and the mental edge from last week’s win, which should be enough to see them through.