Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Deportivo Toluca FC logo
3 - 1
Full-Time
Mazatlan FC logo
Liga MX
Mexico
/
Liga MX
/
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Deportivo Toluca FC
vs
Mazatlan FC
Preview

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.31
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Deportivo Toluca FC
    Won
    Explanation
    • Deportivo Toluca FC is in much better form with 6 wins and 19 points versus Mazatlan FC's 1 win and 7 points.
    • Deportivo Toluca FC scores freely (22 goals, 2.44 per match) and averages 2.5 goals at home, giving them an edge.
    • Head-to-head at Deportivo Toluca FC's ground includes big wins (3-0, 4-1, 4-1), showing they usually beat Mazatlan FC at home.
  • Tipped at
    1.43
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with Deportivo Toluca FC average 3.67 total goals and their home games average 4.25, pointing to more goals.
    • Deportivo Toluca FC recent scores (3-0, 3-1, 3-1) and Mazatlan FC's recent 1-4, 2-3, 2-2 results indicate open, high-scoring games.
    • Head-to-head has produced several high-scoring ties (3-0, 4-1, 4-1), supporting a game with over 2.5 goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.93
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Mazatlan FC struggles away, scoring only 2 away goals total (0.5 per match) and only 20% of their away games saw both teams score.
    • Deportivo Toluca FC concedes just 1.22 goals on average and recorded a recent 3-0 clean sheet, so they can keep Mazatlan FC out.
    • In recent head-to-head meetings at Deportivo Toluca FC's venue Mazatlan FC were held scoreless in notable matches, suggesting they may not score.

Predictions

Toluca

  • Toluca have won 3 of their last 5 matches (D1, L1), including a 3-0 away win at CD Guadalajara and a 3-1 home victory against Puebla, showing strong form ahead of the upcoming Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC prediction.
  • There is much to like about Toluca’s start to the season and their 2025/2026 Apertura campaign in general, as Antonio Mohamed’s men currently sit third in the Liga MX with an impressive 19 points collected from their first 9 fixtures.
  • Their most dangerous player, Helinho, is the division’s most lethal so far with 3 goals in just 4 Liga MX matches, but they also have a number of other players who can contribute, including wide players who can stretch Mazatlan’s compact, central block on Sunday.

Mazatlan FC

  • Mazatlan FC are yet to win away from home in Liga MX 2025-2026, losing 2 of their last 2 games on the road, a detail important for any Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC betting tips.
  • Mazatlan FC have endured a tough start to the new season and find themselves in 15th place after taking just 7 points from their opening 9 games.
  • Fabio Gomes is their top scorer in Liga MX with 2 in 7, but Facundo Almada has contributed a further 2 goals in their last 5 outings to give the visitors some semblance of an attacking outlet.

Head-to-Head

  • Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC preview points out that Toluca have won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings, although Mazatlan won 2-1 at home last season.
  • They are winless from their last 3 trips to Toluca, so the hosts definitely have the psychological advantage.

Key Players

  • Their most dangerous player, Helinho, is the division’s most lethal so far with 3 goals in just 4 Liga MX matches, but they also have a number of other players who can contribute, including wide players who can stretch Mazatlan’s compact, central block on Sunday, a factor to consider for this Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC prediction.
  • Fabio Gomes is their top scorer in Liga MX with 2 in 7, but Facundo Almada has contributed a further 2 goals in their last 5 outings to give the visitors some semblance of an attacking outlet.

Betting Insights

It’s no surprise to see Toluca as the big favorites here at +725 , with Mazatlan FC the clear long shots, but we think the most likely result is for the home team to secure victory.


Prediction

'Over 2.5 goals' is favored at -227 here, but we’ll go for the smaller odds of a Toluca win , as they look to maintain the momentum from their championship-winning campaign and Mazatlan are at the start of their own new cycle under the leadership of Vucetich.

Deportivo Toluca FC logo

Last 12 H2H matches

  • 6
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 4
    Won
Mazatlan FC logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    50
    50
  • Shots On Target
    4
    3
  • Shots Off Target
    2
    6
  • Corners
    5
    2
  • Yellow Cards
    1
    2
  • Red Cards
    1
    0
  • Free Kicks
    0
    0
  • Offsides
    0
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    8
    6
  • GK Saves
    2
    1
  • Goal Kicks
    10
    3

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Liga MX Predictions

02 MAY SATURDAY

FAQ

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Toluca FC have tallied 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Mazatlan FC have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC fixture?

    During the last Deportivo Toluca FC vs Mazatlan FC encounter, the goals came from Everardo López, Nicolas Castro, Gabriel Lopez, Jesus Hernandez, Brian Rubio, Edgar Barcenas, Antonio Briseno Vazquez.

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Stats

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  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
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