Heidenheim
- Heidenheim are in bad shape, winless in 5 matches with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
- Heidenheim, who sit at the bottom of the pile on 13 from 20 games.
- Heidenheim have won only two of their 10 home games in Bundesliga 2025-2026, with three draws and five defeats.
- They have also shipped 22 goals in 10 home outings at an average of 2.20 per game.
- Heidenheim typically sets up a deep five-man defensive block and soaks up pressure before hitting on the counter-attack.
Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV have drawn their last 4 Bundesliga games and lost only 1 of their last 5, including a 2-2 home draw with Bayern Munich in February.
- HSV are 13th in the table with 19 points from 19 matches, only two more than Heidenheim.
- Hamburger’s away form has been pretty poor throughout the season with three away draws and six defeats from nine, but they have scored four times on the road.
- Merlin Polzin has brought a fresh, high-tempo pressing mentality to HSV since taking charge in November 2024 and has got positive results against the Bundesliga’s top teams out of his side, including that 2-2 home draw with champions Bayern Munich.
- He sets his team up in a 4-4-2 system that is designed to press and harass opponents high up the field with pace in behind to counter-attack.
Head-to-Head
HSV have enjoyed the better of the recent head-to-heads, winning the last two and beating Heidenheim 1-0 in the DFB Pokal 2025/2026 three months ago.
Key Players
- Heidenheim
- Stefan Schimmer is their top goal scorer overall, however, with five in 15 appearances and will be a key figure again on Saturday.
- Hamburger SV
- Luka Vuskovic has stepped up to the mark for HSV with two of their last three Bundesliga goals coming recently and he can be the match-winner at Voith Arena.
- Albert Sambi Lokonga is Hamburg’s top goal-scorer in the Bundesliga with four in 15 games and has been more involved in recent games as the club’s midfield play-maker with an attacking bent.
Betting Insights
- It’s no surprise that HSV are only favorites for this match-up at 2.5 to Heidenheim’s 2.7 with the draw at 3.35.
- HSV are only marginal favourites for this one, so we will take them to edge a close game with a small stake on a double chance bet.
- The Over 2.5 goals market at 1.8 looks good enough to take on that basis.
Prediction
HSV have a bit more going for them at the moment and the head-to-head record is in their favour.
