Head-to-Head
- Tolima have the edge in the head-to-heads in the last 3 Primera A 2026 meetings between the teams (Won 2, Lost 1).
- Tolima are unbeaten at home in all competitions (Won 1, Drawn 2) over the last 3 fixtures and have conceded only 2 goals in that sequence.
Tolima (home)
- The hosts are without a win in their last 5 after a 0-0 away draw at Atletico Nacional de Medellin.
- A pair of defeats to CD Jaguares de Cordoba and Rionegro Aguilas Doradas followed that.
- Luis Suarez's side are not in good form, but they have had some tough away games and should be tougher to crack at home, where they have conceded only 2 in their last 3.
- They are a compact unit and win the ball back often, which should be a problem for Pasto.
Pasto (away)
- Jonathan Risueño's side are not in great form either, they've won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 in all competitions and have had some inconsistent patches of play recently.
- They travel to Ibague on Monday off the back of a 0-0 home draw with Fortaleza FC, which was preceded by a 1-0 defeat at Alianza Valledupar.
- Pasto can travel here and do OK, but they won't dominate when they lost 2-0 on their own patch 5 months ago in the reverse of this fixture.
- Pasto have also failed to win on their last 2 visits here in this fixture, and look unlikely to do so again.
Betting Insights
- It's not often you will see odds of 1.41 for the home team in a match with the away side as big outsiders at 8.8 and the draw at 4.1, but those are the numbers we are dealing with in this encounter.
- Under 2.5 goals at 1.8 and Both Teams to Score - No at 1.62 point to a low-scoring home win, rather than a shootout, being the most likely outcome.
Prediction
- Pasto prefer a possession game and their approach is to control the tempo, whereas Tolima prefer to run at their opponents and win the ball high up the pitch.
- This is a classic contest of two opposing styles and we believe Tolima, with their high-intensity, to get out of this on top.
