Nacional
- Atletico Nacional de Medellin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (W3, D2).
- Nacional are in good form, having won three and drawn two of their last five, while Medellín have won just one of their last five, drawing one and losing three.
- Nacional are unbeaten at home in all competitions, having won four and drawn two of their first six home games.
Independiente Medellin
- Medellin are in poor form with just one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five matches, and they have lost two in a row.
- Medellin have lost five of their last 10 in all competitions (W3, D2) and have won just two, drawn one and lost three of their six away games in all competitions.
- They have conceded 11 goals in those away games, which is an average of 1.83 per match.
Head-to-Head
- Moreover, Nacional have won the last two head-to-head meetings between these two clubs and edged this derby 3-2 at home in Copa Colombia 2026.
- Independiente Medellin have not won in their last 3 away derby trips to Nacional.
Key Players
- Nacional's Andres Sarmiento has been in great form recently, scoring four of their eight goals in the last five, and they have a reliable finisher in Edwin Cardona, who has three in five Primera A 2026.
- Lucas Gonzalez has set Nacional up to play with the ball and press aggressively, which should suit them against Medellín's compact, energetic and aggressive system, which Luis Perea has instilled in his players.
Betting Insights
- Nacional are the clear favorites here at 1.73, compared to Medellin at 4.65 and the draw at 3.65.
- There could be goals in this game, but it could also be a close contest with the pressure on Medellín.
- Both Teams to Score is 1.75 and Under 2.5 Goals is 1.95, so the odds on offer don't leave much value on either market.
Prediction
- The tactical matchup is about Nacional controlling the game, while Medellín try to disrupt it and score on the counter.
- This should be a fierce derby and may well go to the final moments, but Nacional are playing well and they should just edge it.
- So Nacional should edge it here.
