Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo
3 - 2
Full-Time
Atletico Morelia logo
Liga de Expansion
Mexico
/
Liga de Expansion

CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
vs
Atletico Morelia
Preview

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CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.02
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
    Won
    Explanation
    • At home CD Tepatitlan de Morelos scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75 per match, while Atletico Morelia only scores 0.75 away.
    • Head-to-head at CD Tepatitlan de Morelos's ground shows recent home wins like 3-1 and 2-1, giving CD Tepatitlan de Morelos a clear edge.
    • Overall CD Tepatitlan de Morelos has a +7 goal difference and 14 points versus Atletico Morelia's -4 and 11, showing steadier form.
  • Tipped at
    1.71
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Recent games are high scoring: CD Tepatitlan de Morelos had 3-3 and 4-1, while Atletico Morelia had 3-0 and 2-2 in recent matches.
    • Atletico Morelia's matches average 3.25 total goals and their away games average 3.5 goals, favoring over 2.5.
    • CD Tepatitlan de Morelos matches average 2.78 total goals and past meetings with Atletico Morelia often finish with 3+ goals.
  • Tipped at
    2.20
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Atletico Morelia has scored only 3 away goals in the tournament (0.75 avg), suggesting they may not score here.
    • CD Tepatitlan de Morelos have conceded just 3 goals at home in total (0.75 avg), increasing the chance of a clean sheet.
    • Matches with Atletico Morelia away see BTTS just 25%, while CD Tepatitlan de Morelos home BTTS is 40%—no is the likelier outcome.

Predictions

Tepatitlan

  • CD Tepatitlan de Morelos are likely to approach their home game against Atletico Morelia on Saturday with more on their mind than just the three points, as they look to establish themselves as a force under new leadership while Morelia look to define themselves under recently appointed boss Gilberto Adame.
  • Tepatitlan have had an excellent start to the new season, currently 4th in Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 with 14 points from 9 matches.
  • They play an immediate and direct style of soccer, setting up to cause overloading situations on the flanks and then pushing players in behind to run onto direct passes to try and exploit gaps between the lines.
  • They have drawn once and lost once in their last two at home, but their defensive record of 0.75 goals per game at Estadio Tepatitlan is impressive. Regarding the upcoming clash, our CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia betting tips suggest that Tepatitlan's strong defensive form at home could prove pivotal.

Atletico Morelia

  • Morelia have played well at times this campaign, but remain inconsistent and a few weeks of poor form have seen them drop to 10th in the standings.
  • The Monarcas have won two, drawn one and lost two in their last five, but are currently on a two-game losing streak.
  • Atletico Morelia have struggled on the road this year, drawing two and losing two of their four away matches.
  • They have conceded an average of 2.75 goals on the road, which is an issue that Adame will surely want to address in the coming weeks.
  • Gilberto Adame has taken the reins at Atletico Morelia recently and is looking to add some intensity to the team after his predecessor Ignacio Castro’s more conservative setup.

Head-to-Head

Tepatitlan have the edge in the head-to-head record, winning two of the last three meetings , including a 3-1 win here eight months ago, but I’m expecting a few goals here and the Over 2.5 goals line at 1.69 looks enticing according to this CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia betting tips.


Key Players

Tepatitlan’s Angel Chavez has 2 goals in 9 league games but plays a key role in Tepatitlan’s transition football.


Betting Insights

Morelia have failed to win in their last three visits to Tepatitlan and the hosts are my pick for this game as favourites, with the odds on Morelia at 3.25 and the draw at 3.5 looking rather optimistic given the home side’s form and the strength in which they are playing.


Prediction

This CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia prediction points towards a home victory, given the hosts’ impressive run and Morelia’s away defensive struggles.

CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo

Last 13 H2H matches

  • 6
    Won
  • 5
    Draw
  • 2
    Won
Atletico Morelia logo

Last Matches

  • Oct 03 2025
    Liga de Expansion
    Atletico Morelia logo
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
    3
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Atletico Morelia
    2
  • Jan 31 2025
    Liga de Expansion MX
    Atletico Morelia logo
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
    3
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Atletico Morelia
    1
  • Aug 17 2024
    Liga de Expansion MX
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo
    Atletico Morelia
    2
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
    1
  • Feb 04 2024
    Liga de Expansion MX
    Atletico Morelia logo
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
    2
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Atletico Morelia
    1
  • Nov 02 2023
    Liga de Expansion MX
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo
    Atletico Morelia
    1
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo
    CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
    0

Live Stats

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Liga de Expansion Predictions

13 MAR FRIDAY

14 MAR SATURDAY

FAQ

  • CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, CD Tepatitlan de Morelos have tallied 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Atletico Morelia have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia fixture?

    During the last CD Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atletico Morelia encounter, the goals came from Diego Aguilar, Brian Figueroa, Leonardo Sámano.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for CD Tepatitlan de Morelos and Atletico Morelia in this Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 season?

    In the Liga de Expansion 2025/2026, Amaury Escoto leads the scoring for CD Tepatitlan de Morelos with 3 goals, while Mauro Nambo tops the charts for Atletico Morelia with 3 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 season – CD Tepatitlan de Morelos or Atletico Morelia?

    The Liga de Expansion 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, who have shipped just 4 goals in 9 matches and kept 5 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.44.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
1
Team Logo CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
12 9
2
Team Logo Atletico Morelia
12 8

Player Statistics

Name
Bryan Mendoza
3 1 1 0 7 398
Amaury Escoto
3 0 2 0 4 267
Wiliam Guzman
2 1 2 0 9 632
Leonardo Samano
1 0 2 0 9 753
Omar Islas
1 1 3 0 9 702

Liga de Expansion Standings

1
The CD Tepatitlan de Morelos logo
CD Tepatitlan de Morelos
9 5 3 1 12:4 18
2
The Atletico Morelia logo
Atletico Morelia
8 5 1 2 12:5 16
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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