Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Leones Negros Guadalajara logo
2 - 0
Full-Time
Atletico Morelia logo
Liga de Expansion
Mexico
/
Liga de Expansion

Leones Negros Guadalajara
vs
Atletico Morelia
Preview

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Leones Negros Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.51
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Atletico Morelia
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Atletico Morelia has 6 wins and conceded just 9 goals in Liga de Expansion 2025-2026, showing consistent form.
    • Leones Negros Guadalajara has only 1 win and 5 draws in their current campaign, struggling to turn draws into wins.
    • Still, in their last 5 head-to-heads Leones Negros Guadalajara beat Atletico Morelia 4 times, so an upset remains possible.
  • Tipped at
    1.94
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Leones Negros Guadalajara's matches average 2.91 total goals this season, indicating frequent open games.
    • Atletico Morelia's fixtures average 2.5 goals in Liga de Expansion 2025-2026, with several recent high-scoring outings.
    • Their last 5 meetings combined for 14 goals (2.8 per game), supporting an over 2.5 expectation.
  • Tipped at
    1.74
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Leones Negros Guadalajara has seen both teams score in 57.69% of their matches this season, often conceding while scoring.
    • In their last 5 games Leones Negros Guadalajara had 4 matches (80%) with goals at both ends, showing a recent pattern.
    • Atletico Morelia's away matches see both teams score 53.85% of the time, so their road games often feature both sides scoring.

Predictions

Leones Negros (Home)

  • Sosa is a coach who likes to play with patience, building up his teams in a structured manner and controlling the game’s tempo with a central overload and wide play.
  • Leones Negros are in poor form with 0 wins, 3 ties, and 2 defeats in their last 5 Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 matches.
  • His team are languishing in 14th place in Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 with just eight points from their opening 11 games.

Atletico Morelia (Away)

  • Morelia, by contrast, are flying in third spot after Ortiz, who took charge in October 2025, has put his stamp on the team with a direct approach that thrives on fast, vertical transitions and an aggressive pressing trigger when the time is right.
  • Atletico have won three and lost two of their last five league games and their away record in Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 is two wins, one draw and two defeats.

Head-to-Head

Leones Negros have the better recent head-to-head record, having beaten Atletico Morelia in 4 of the last 5 meetings in all competitions.


Key Players

  • Both teams have goalscorers to worry about as Leones’ playmaker Denilson Munoz has three in eight games this term with two in the last four.
  • Ruben Del Campo is in similarly red-hot form for the visitors with three goals in his last five.

Betting Insights

  • Atletico’s superior form and attacking quality should be enough to take them over the line in this matchup but, given Leones’ strong record against them in recent years, the odds for the visiting team are good at 3.05.
  • A high-scoring game looks on the cards, so the odds of 1.65 for over 2.5 goals and 1.53 for both teams to score are worth considering.

Prediction

  • Sosa’s slow-build Leones is no match for Ortiz’s transition Morelia.
  • Atletico Morelia to edge it, but a high-scoring affair (BTTS) is likely.
Leones Negros Guadalajara logo

Last 18 H2H matches

  • 11
    Won
  • 2
    Draw
  • 5
    Won
Atletico Morelia logo

Last Matches

  • Apr 04 2026
    Liga de Expansion
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Leones Negros Guadalajara
    2
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Atletico Morelia
    0
  • Oct 26 2025
    Liga de Expansion
    Leones Negros Guadalajara logo
    Atletico Morelia
    2
    Leones Negros Guadalajara logo
    Leones Negros Guadalajara
    3
  • May 11 2025
    Liga de Expansion MX
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Leones Negros Guadalajara
    2
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Atletico Morelia
    0
  • May 03 2025
    Liga de Expansion MX
    Leones Negros Guadalajara logo
    Atletico Morelia
    2
    Leones Negros Guadalajara logo
    Leones Negros Guadalajara
    0
  • Mar 20 2025
    Liga de Expansion MX
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Leones Negros Guadalajara
    2
    Atletico Morelia logo
    Atletico Morelia
    1

Live Stats

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Liga de Expansion Predictions

30 APR THURSDAY

FAQ

  • Leones Negros Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Leones Negros Guadalajara have tallied 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses. In the same span, Atletico Morelia have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Leones Negros Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia fixture?

    During the last Leones Negros Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia encounter, the goals came from Juan Aguayo, Oscar Gil.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Leones Negros Guadalajara and Atletico Morelia in this Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 season?

    In the Liga de Expansion 2025/2026, Alejandro Bravo leads the scoring for Leones Negros Guadalajara with 3 goals, while Mauro Nambo tops the charts for Atletico Morelia with 3 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 season – Leones Negros Guadalajara or Atletico Morelia?

    The Liga de Expansion 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Atletico Morelia, who have shipped just 12 goals in 14 matches and kept 6 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 0.86.

Author

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
3
Team Logo Atletico Morelia
16 14
15
Team Logo Leones Negros Guadalajara
15 14

Player Statistics

Name
Alejandro Bravo
3 2 4 0 14 1151
Denilson Munoz
3 0 3 0 11 812
Joel Perez
2 1 1 0 13 827
Juan Aguayo
1 0 2 0 11 718
Juan Brigido
1 2 1 0 14 672

Liga de Expansion Standings

3
The Atletico Morelia logo
Atletico Morelia
14 6 2 5 16:12 23
15
The Leones Negros Guadalajara logo
Leones Negros Guadalajara
14 2 5 7 15:25 11
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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