La Paz
- This weekend’s Liga de Expansion 2025/2026 action pits third-placed La Paz (20pts from 12 games) against league leaders, Tepatitlan de Morelos (25pts from 13), and it should be an interesting match-up between two sides with contrasting styles.
- The hosts are unbeaten in three at home (Won 2, Drawn 1).
- Hugo Castillo, who took the reins at La Paz in July 2025, has instilled a possession-based style that seeks to control the flow of the game and create chances through controlled buildup and a high press.
- La Paz have been in mixed form over the last month, winning two, drawing two and losing one of their last five fixtures.
Tepatitlan de Morelos
- Tepatitlan de Morelos are top of the league on 25 points from 13 games but have only won 1 of their last 6 on the road (Drawn 3, Lost 2).
- Gabriel Pereyra has had a positive impact on the side since coming in in January 2026, implementing a disciplined, transition-based style that can be equally as effective.
- The visitors are in good form with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five.
- They tend to struggle on the road, with no wins in two, one draw and a loss.
Head-to-Head
- Tepatitlan de Morelos have a slightly better head-to-head record against La Paz (3 wins, 2 losses).
- Tepatitlan lost their last meeting 0-1 five months ago at home.
Key Players
- Martin Barragan - six goals in 12 league appearances and three in his last five.
- Amaury Escoto - five goals in seven appearances.
Betting Insights
- The value is clearly with the home side here, as La Paz are dominant at home and Tepatitlan have struggled away from their own patch.
- The odds are attractive for Atletico La Paz to win (2.64), while Over 2.5 goals (1.57) and Both Teams to Score - No (2.5) are also appealing.
Prediction
- La Paz and Tepatitlan are expected to play in contrasting ways this Saturday, with the visitors attempting to stifle their host’s creative play by sitting deep and remaining compact.
- La Paz will attempt to control possession and create opportunities with patient buildup and high pressing, while Tepatitlan will seek to disrupt the flow and transition quickly.
- Tepatitlan de Morelos will try to cause problems at set pieces and counterattack when possible, but La Paz’s superior ball control and possession dominance should see them create more.
- La Paz have only conceded 3 goals in their 6 home matches (0.50 per game) and Tepatitlan have averaged just 0.83 goals per match away from home this season, so I think the away side will struggle to find the net.
