Burnley
- The Clarets have gone five games without a win (D1, L4), recently losing 2-1 at Newcastle, 3-2 at home to Fulham and drawing 1-1 away at Bournemouth.
- Their home record in the Premier League 2025-2026 has been two wins, one draw and five defeats from eight games, leaving Parker’s side in 19th place with only 11 points from 17 games.
- The Clarets concede an average of 1.25 goals per game at home in the Premier League, with ten goals shipped at Turf Moor this term.
Newcastle
- The Magpies can play a dynamic 4-3-3 or 4-5-1, pressing high and looking to turn defence into attack in a heartbeat.
- But Newcastle have just one away win in the Premier League, although they have drawn two of their last three on the road (D2, L1).
- Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League with 23 points from 17 matches, which probably represents a fair reflection of their squad quality.
Head-to-Head
Newcastle have won their last three meetings with Burnley , including a 2-1 home win two weeks ago.
Key Players
- Zian Flemming has five goals in 14 Premier League games, and his two goals among Burnley’s last five make him Burnley’s most immediate danger in this game.
- Anthony Gordon has scored two of Newcastle’s last six goals and Nick Woltemade leads their scoring charts with seven in 14 Premier League fixtures this term.
Betting Insights
- The Magpies are in decent form (W1, D3, L1 in their last five) and are clear favorites in this match at 1.64, with Burnley the outsiders at 5.2 and the draw at 3.8.
- Newcastle should probably be favorites given they beat Burnley 2-1 at St James’ Park two weeks ago, but they have struggled on the road, averaging 0.88 goals per match away from home and 1.25 conceded in the Premier League.
- The Over 2.5 Goals market also looks a good option at 1.77 with plenty to go both ways and chances for each side in what should be an open game.
Prediction
Given Newcastle ’s squad is clearly superior, their recent record against the Clarets and the odds, we’ll take them to edge this game at Turf Moor .
