Newcastle (Home)
- Newcastle have won seven, drawn two, and lost four of their 13 home matches in the Premier League 2025/2026 season.
- Newcastle have averaged 1.85 goals per match at St James’ Park in 2025/2026.
- The Magpies have lost some of their momentum with four defeats and one win in their last five Premier League games.
- Eddie Howe’s men have a high-pressing, high-tempo style with a vertical focus on winning the ball back high up and playing with pace.
- The problem is that a lack of depth in midfield can get exposed against teams who sit deep and defend in numbers, as we saw in their 2-3 home defeat to Brentford and 2-1 away loss to Manchester City in recent weeks.
Everton (Away)
- David Moyes has had a similar impact on Everton since returning in January 2025, quickly getting them to defend with solidity, discipline and in numbers.
- His 4-2-3-1 or 5-4-1 systems are not complex, but they do set up counter attacks from a compact block.
- Iliman Ndiaye, who has scored five league goals from 21 appearances, is Everton’s top scorer and a key player in this respect, with his direct running style always a threat to break the opposition’s defense.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin remains a physical target man up top.
Head-to-Head
- Newcastle are winless in their last two home league meetings with Everton (D1, L1).
- Newcastle beat Everton 4-1 on the road only two months ago.
Key Players
- Bruno Guimaraes remains the fulcrum of the team with nine goals from 23 Premier League appearances in 2025/2026.
- Alexander Isak’s movement and finishing have been a major factor too, especially when the Magpies are on the counter-attack.
- Iliman Ndiaye has scored five league goals from 21 appearances.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin remains a physical target man up top.
Betting Insights
- Both teams are prone to errors at the back right now, so the Over 2.5 goals market looks attractive at 1.73 with Newcastle at home and hungry for a win.
- Newcastle are priced as the favorite at 1.74.
- The draw is available at 3.75.
Prediction
Newcastle to win looks a good play at 1.74 , but a draw at 3.75 is also a realistic outcome given Everton’s recent away resilience.
