Brighton (home)
- Brighton have won four of their eight home games in the Premier League in 2025-2026 (3 draws, 1 defeat).
- Both teams arrive at the Amex in mixed form after recording two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five Premier League matches.
- The Seagulls drew 1-1 at home with West Ham before falling to a 2-0 defeat away to Liverpool last weekend, which was a disappointing effort for Fabian Hürzeler’s team.
- The Seagulls press in numbers and move the ball in a way that makes them a serious threat going forward with Simon Adingra and Pascal Groß providing the creative spark and midfield control.
- Brighton have scored 16 goals in eight home league games so it is difficult to envisage them not breaking through at some stage.
Sunderland (away)
- Sunderland have two wins, two draws and four defeats from eight away games.
- Sunderland sit eighth in the Premier League table on 26 points from 16 games, three points ahead of Brighton in 10th place on 23.
- Sunderland’s 1-0 home win over Newcastle United was their standout result in the last month, but that followed a 3-0 away defeat to Manchester City and a 1-1 away draw with Liverpool.
- Jack Clarke, who has pace to burn, and Pierre Ekwah, who can break up play and start a counter-attack, are key players for Sunderland while Wilson Isidor is their top scorer with four goals in 16 games.
- The Black Cats’ away form has been poor of late, failing to win their last three away games with one draw and two losses.
Brighton
The Seagulls press in numbers and move the ball in a way that makes them a serious threat going forward with Simon Adingra and Pascal Groß providing the creative spark and midfield control.
Sunderland
Jack Clarke, who has pace to burn, and Pierre Ekwah, who can break up play and start a counter-attack, are key players for Sunderland while Wilson Isidor is their top scorer with four goals in 16 games.
Betting Insights
- Brighton look the most likely winners at 1.69, but Sunderland are big enough underdogs at 5.49 to tempt a bet on the draw no bet market because their defensive set-up can be very difficult to break down.
- The Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.87 looks a better option than either of the teams to win, as Brighton’s home record and Sunderland’s away record clearly suggest a home victory is the most likely outcome.
Prediction
Sunderland’s structure should keep the game tight for much of the first half, but Brighton have scored 16 goals in eight home league games so it is difficult to envisage them not breaking through at some stage.