Tottenham (home team)
- Tottenham have lost four of their last five, drawing once, and have failed to win or draw in their last two home games.
- De Zerbi recently took charge at Tottenham, but they’re yet to show enough to suggest a significant turnaround is in the works.
- The Italian tactician has changed the style of play dramatically, slowing the pace of their play and favouring a patient build-up and possession-based approach.
- Spurs are also struggling in front of goal at home this season, averaging just 1.12 goals per game in the 2025/2026 Premier League, and conceding 1.75 per match.
Brighton (away team)
- Brighton have won four of their last five in the Premier League, including their last three.
- The Seagulls sit in ninth place in the standings with 46 points from 32 games, compared to Spurs in 18th with just 30 points from the same number of matches, but that’s still reflected fairly accurately in the odds for this contest.
- They have won each of their last two on the road.
Head-to-Head
- Albion have won three of the last five head-to-heads, with Spurs winning once and the other finishing level.
- The Seagulls are in fine form and have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, averaging 2.5 goals per visit to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium while Spurs have averaged just 1.5.
Key Players
- However, Brighton also have a proven goal-scorer in Danny Welbeck, who tops the Albion charts for the season with 12 goals in 31 league appearances, and he has bagged three of his total in their last five.
- Richarlison is the most prolific attacker for Tottenham this season with nine goals in 27 Premier League appearances.
- The Brazilian has scored two of Tottenham’s last three and should be on the scoresheet at some point in this encounter.
Betting Insights
- They have won each of their last two on the road and are excellent value at 2.38 for another away victory here.
- There should be more than 2.5 goals in this clash, and both teams to score looks a safe bet at 1.55, so I’m taking that option alongside the away win.
Prediction
- The game will be an interesting chess match as De Zerbi takes on his former club.
- Both managers set their teams up to attack and press and we can expect an open game for the neutral viewer on Saturday.
