Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Atletico Madrid logo
1 - 2
Full-Time
Real Madrid logo
Super Cup
Spain
/
Super Cup
/
King Abdullah Sports City

Atletico Madrid
vs
Real Madrid
Preview

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.82
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Atletico Madrid
    Lost
    Explanation
    • In recent H2H, Atletico Madrid produced a dominant 5-2 home win, showing strong scoring potential at home.
    • At Atletico Madrid's stadium they avoided defeat in two of three recent home H2H matches, giving them confidence.
    • Head-to-head shows Real Madrid conceding multiple goals at Atletico Madrid's ground, making a home win plausible.
  • Tipped at
    1.79
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Their H2H meetings averaged 4.2 goals per game (21 goals in 5 matches), pointing to a high-scoring match.
    • Three of the last five clashes exceeded 2.5 goals, including the 5-2 and 3-4 encounters full of goals.
    • Several recent H2H results were heavy scorelines, so expecting over 2.5 goals fits the historical pattern.
  • Tipped at
    1.57
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • All five recent H2H matches saw both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid score, a clear and consistent trend to expect again.
    • Every meeting ended with both teams on the scoresheet, from 1-1 draws to the high-scoring 5-2 and 3-4 games.
    • Given the history of mutual goals in their clashes, it's likely both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid will find the net.

Predictions

Real Madrid

  • Both teams come into the match in good form with each having won four of their last five games in all competitions.
  • Real’s playbook is also well-known by now as Xabi Alonso’s side play a patient game of possession football, pressing in numbers and then waiting for the right moment to explode into the opposition half.
  • Bellingham and Valverde provide the midfield thrust and work rate to make Alonso’s system work, but García’s hat-trick against Betis in Mbappé’s absence was no coincidence.
  • The young star has been a revelation and will take the pressure off the Frenchman when needed, but his heroics are needed even more if Mbappé is not fit enough to start.

Atletico Madrid

  • Atletico Madrid are well-equipped to cause their noisy neighbours problems again, as they did when the sides met several times in 2024-25 and 2025.
  • Simeone’s side have won three of the last five competitive derbies.
  • Los Atleticos will sit in a compact block and try to frustrate the away side into giving the ball away.
  • They will win the ball back in numbers and can be ruthless when they do, with their transition play and set-pieces capable of causing havoc to any opponent.
  • Oblak in the Atletico goal and Koke’s set-piece delivery and leadership remain constant features.
  • Julián Álvarez remains Simeone’s focal point as top scorer in all competitions and has the pace to carry the attack in transition, but Griezmann’s impact off the bench has been a feature in the past few weeks.

Head-to-Head

  • Atlético Madrid have won three of the last five competitive derbies.
  • Atlético stunned Real Madrid 5-2 in LaLiga in September 2025.

Key Players

  • Real Madrid:
    • Bellingham and Valverde provide the midfield thrust and work rate to make Alonso’s system work.
    • García’s hat-trick against Betis came in Mbappé’s absence.
    • Mbappé’s fitness is crucial to Real’s odds.
  • Atlético Madrid:
    • Oblak has been a constant in goal and Koke provides set-piece delivery and leadership.
    • Griezmann has been the catalyst in several games, scoring decisive goals off the bench.
    • Julián Álvarez remains Simeone’s focal point as top scorer in all competitions.

Betting Insights

  • Odds:Real Madrid 2.5, Atlético 2.66, Draw 3.4.
  • Both Teams To Score is available at 1.5 and looks appealing given both squads’ recent form and goal output.

Prediction

  • Expect a tight, tense derby where set-pieces and transitions could decide the outcome.
  • Back Both Teams To Score at 1.5.
Atletico Madrid logo

Last 56 H2H matches

  • 14
    Won
  • 15
    Draw
  • 27
    Won
Real Madrid logo

Last Matches

  • Jan 08 2026
    Super Cup
    Real Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    2
  • Sept 27 2025
    La Liga
    Real Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    5
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    2
  • Mar 12 2025
    UEFA Champions League
    Real Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    3
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    4
  • Mar 04 2025
    UEFA Champions League
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    2
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    1
  • Feb 08 2025
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    1
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    1

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    55
    45
  • Total Shots
    22
    8
  • Shots On Target
    6
    4
  • Shots Off Target
    10
    2
  • Corners
    9
    1
  • Crosses
    33
    10
  • Yellow Cards
    0
    1
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    7
    8
  • Offsides
    1
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    7
    7
  • Counterattacks
    4
    5
  • GK Saves
    2
    5
  • Goal Kicks
    5
    13
  • Throw Ins
    13
    11
  • Treatments
    3
    6
  • Substitutions
    5
    5

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FAQ

  • Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid have tallied 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Real Madrid have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid fixture?

    During the last Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid encounter, the goals came from Federico Santiago Valverde Dipetta, Alexander Sorloth, Rodrygo Silva de Goes.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo Atletico Madrid
1 1
4
Team Logo Real Madrid
4 2

Player Statistics

Name
Alexander Soerloth
1 0 0 0 1 73
David Hancko
0 0 0 0 1 90
Giuliano Simeone
0 1 0 0 1 90
Jan Oblak
0 0 0 0 1 90
Julian Alvarez
0 0 0 0 1 90

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