Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 5/4 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Atletico Madrid logo
5 - 2
Full-Time
Real Madrid logo
La Liga
Spain
/
La Liga
/
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid
vs
Real Madrid
Predictions & Betting Tips

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Atletico Madrid logo

Last 55 H2H matches

  • 14
    Won
  • 15
    Draw
  • 26
    Won
Real Madrid logo

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Predictions

Atletico Madrid (home)

  • Atletico Madrid have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • Atleti are unbeaten at home in LaLiga this term, having won and drawn one of their two fixtures to date.
  • Oscar Fernandez has also impressed with Atletico’s compact 4-4-2 system or 5-3-2 variations that set up to be tough to break down and pick off opponents in transition, as highlighted in this Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid preview.
  • Atleti have averaged 1.5 goals and conceded only 0.5 per home match so far.

Real Madrid (away)

  • Real Madrid have a perfect five-match winning record in all competitions this season.
  • According to our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction, Real Madrid have won their two LaLiga away matches to a man this year, conceding just once.
  • Alonso’s pressing system has seen Los Blancos dominate possession and force their opponents into errors by pressing them high up the field while their own side can transition quickly to cause havoc in behind the opposition’s defensive line.
  • Real have taken maximum points from their first five games to top the table with 15 points to Atletico’s six in 12th.

Head-to-Head

Los Merengues have won the last two head-to-head meetings and came away with a dramatic 4-3 win in the UEFA Champions League six months ago.


Key Players

  • Kylian Mbappe has been on a roll for Real with five LaLiga goals in as many games and they have bagged eight in their last four with the World Cup winner on fire.
  • As detailed in the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid betting tips, Marcos Llorente has popped up with two in his last four appearances and looks more likely to find the net if he starts.

Betting Insights

  • The odds for this game still suggest Real will get a few votes as +175 favourites to win it.
  • We like Over 2.5 goals at -153 given both sides’ scoring form.

Prediction

The Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction for this match is that it should be a hard-fought clash with Real the favourites to come out on top. Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction also factors in both teams' recent form and key players.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.40
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Real Madrid
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Real Madrid have won all 5 recent matches, scoring 10 and conceding just 2, showing clear dominance.
    • Head-to-head edges to Real Madrid: they beat Atletico Madrid 4-3 and 2-1 in recent meetings, including at Atletico Madrid.
    • Atletico Madrid has only one home win and several draws; their inconsistent form makes beating Real Madrid unlikely.
  • Tipped at
    1.65
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Games involving Atletico Madrid average 2.2 goals and Real Madrid average 2.4, pointing toward more than 2.5 goals.
    • Real Madrid score 2.5 goals per away match while Atletico Madrid concedes 1.33 away, suggesting multiple goals will come.
    • Recent head-to-head saw high scores like 3-4 and 4-2, indicating this fixture often produces three or more goals.
  • Tipped at
    2.31
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Real Madrid concede rarely — just 2 goals in 5 matches (0.4 per game) — so they often keep opponents quiet.
    • Matches with Real Madrid have BTTS only 28.57% overall and just 25% in away games, favoring one-sided scorelines.
    • Atletico Madrid at home has BTTS only 25% and several low-scoring home results, making a shutout for one side possible.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Last Matches

  • Sept 27 2025
    La Liga
    Real Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    5
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    2
  • Mar 12 2025
    UEFA Champions League
    Real Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    3
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    4
  • Mar 04 2025
    UEFA Champions League
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    2
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    1
  • Feb 08 2025
    La Liga
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    1
    Atletico Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    1
  • Sept 29 2024
    La Liga
    Real Madrid logo
    Atletico Madrid
    1
    Real Madrid logo
    Real Madrid
    1

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Live Stats

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Live Stats

  • Possession
    37
    63
  • Total Shots
    14
    6
  • Shots On Target
    7
    2
  • Shots Off Target
    4
    2
  • Corners
    7
    2
  • Crosses
    16
    10
  • Yellow Cards
    5
    4
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    15
    18
  • Offsides
    1
    1
  • Fouls Committed
    17
    14
  • Counterattacks
    1
    2
  • GK Saves
    0
    2
  • Goal Kicks
    8
    7
  • Throw Ins
    15
    13
  • Treatments
    1
    3
  • Substitutions
    5
    5

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La Liga Predictions

03 OCT FRIDAY

04 OCT SATURDAY

05 OCT SUNDAY

FAQ

  • Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid have tallied 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Real Madrid have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid fixture?

    During the last Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid encounter, the goals came from Alexander Sorloth, Robin Le Normand, Kylian Mbappe, Arda Guler, Juan Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid in this LaLiga 2025/2026 season?

    In the LaLiga 2025/2026, Julian Alvarez leads the scoring for Atletico Madrid with 6 goals, while Kylian Mbappe tops the charts for Real Madrid with 8 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this LaLiga 2025/2026 season – Atletico Madrid or Real Madrid?

    The LaLiga 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Real Madrid, who have shipped just 8 goals in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.14.

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
2
Team Logo Real Madrid
16 7
5
Team Logo Atletico Madrid
14 7

Player Statistics

Name
Julian Alvarez
6 1 1 0 7 544
Alexander Soerloth
2 0 2 1 6 286
Robin Le Normand
1 0 2 0 7 616
Pablo Barrios
1 0 0 0 7 562
Giuliano Simeone
1 2 1 0 7 526

La Liga Standings

2
The Real Madrid logo
Real Madrid
7 6 0 1 16:8 18
5
The Atletico Madrid logo
Atletico Madrid
7 3 3 1 14:9 12
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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