Head-to-Head
Fiorentina have won four of the last five meetings of the clubs in all competitions, with one draw.
Fiorentina
- Fiorentina will try to maintain their recent improvement at home to a Cagliari side that have suffered a roller-coaster ride in the last two matches.
- ACF are 17th in Serie A on 17 points from 21 games while the Sardinians are in 15th place on 22 points from the same number of fixtures.
- Paolo Vanoli took charge in November 2025 and has introduced a pragmatic and organised approach to the club that has improved their results after a turbulent start to the campaign.
- AC Milan drew 1-1 here in their last trip to Florence and since then, Fiorentina have gone unbeaten in two home matches, suggesting they are settling in under Vanoli’s regime.
- A 2-1 away win over Bologna last time out indicates a growing confidence in the squad and a belief in their coach’s system.
- Fiorentina’s home record is poor with only two wins, three draws and five losses at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, but they have scored 14 goals in 10 home games, averaging 1.40 per fixture.
- They do not have an out-and-out striker at the top of their game right now, but Mandragora’s ability to make late runs and impact from set pieces provides them with a focal point.
Cagliari
- Gennaro Borrelli is Cagliari’s leading Serie A goalscorer with three goals from 20 appearances and they have lacked a clinical finisher for much of the campaign.
- Fabio Pisacane has brought tactical discipline and a focus on youth development since taking charge at the Sardinian club in June 2025.
- His teams can play a flexible 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation and are proactive in pressing the ball, although have struggled to finish off games, particularly away from home.
- A 3-0 loss at Genoa was followed by a superb 1-0 home victory against Juventus in their most recent two games, indicating their ability to adapt to each opponent.
Key Players
- Mandragora - Mandragora’s ability to make late runs and impact from set pieces provides them with a focal point.
- Gennaro Borrelli - Cagliari’s leading Serie A goalscorer with three goals from 20 appearances.
Betting Insights
- Fiorentina are favorites at 1.62.
- We feel Cagliari should be better than 5.7 in the odds market and a draw at 3.6 looks about right too.
- Both Teams to Score is 1.8 and should appeal to those looking for a low-risk bet in what should be an open match because neither side is completely watertight defensively.
Prediction
- The contrast in styles here is such that Fiorentina’s vertical surges from wide areas will be up against Cagliari’s compact, pressing approach and the game will probably be decided in the transition phases.
- The hosts have a superior head-to-head record and home advantage, so we are taking Fiorentina to edge it, although Pisacane’s tactical discipline and youthful players can keep it close.
