Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Watford logo
2 - 0
Full-Time
Derby County logo
Championship
England
/
Championship
/
Vicarage Road Stadium

Watford
vs
Derby County
Preview

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Watford vs Derby County Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    3.27
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Derby County
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Derby County has won 8 away matches and averages 1.73 goals away per game, showing clear road potency.
    • Watford has no wins in their last 5 (3 draws, 2 losses) and scored only 3 goals in those games.
    • While Watford won the last 3 head-to-heads, Derby County scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches overall.
  • Tipped at
    2.11
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Watford's home matches average 2.56 total goals, just above the 2.5 threshold at their stadium.
    • Derby County's away matches average 2.8 total goals and they score 1.73 goals on average away.
    • Their last 3 head-to-head games produced 10 goals combined, an average of 3.33 goals per match.
  • Tipped at
    1.84
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    Yes
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Derby County sees both teams score in 64.71% of matches and 58.82% of their away games.
    • Watford has both teams scoring in 57.14% overall and 55.56% of their home matches.
    • Recently Derby County had 3 of their last 5 with both teams scoring, while Watford had 2 of 5.

Predictions

Watford

  • Watford’s form has dipped slightly in recent weeks and they now come into this match without a win in their last five Championship matches, following a 0-0 draw at Hull City, 1-0 defeat at Southampton and 2-2 draw at Preston North End.
  • Edward Still’s team have been solid at the back in recent games, but have failed to produce enough in the attacking third to win games.
  • Luca Kjerrumgaard has been their most reliable attacking option all season, netting eight times in 30 Championship appearances.
  • But the Hornets have been in fine form at Vicarage Road, winning eight and losing only three of their 16 home games this season.

Derby County

  • Derby County have been impressive on the road in the Championship this season, winning eight, drawing three and losing only four of their 15 away games in the second tier.
  • John Eustace’s team are clinical away from home, averaging 1.73 goals per game, and have scored 26 goals on the road.
  • Derby have won both of their last two away, but have not won at Watford in recent visits.

Head-to-Head

  • Watford have won eight of 16 home Championship games (D5, L3).
  • Derby County have won eight of their away Championship games (D3, L4).

Key Players

  • Luca Kjerrumgaard has been their most reliable attacking option all season, netting eight times in 30 Championship appearances.
  • Patrick Agyemang has scored three times in his last five games to help the Rams notch ten times in that run.

Betting Insights

  • The clash of these two teams should be fascinating as Watford have played a high-intensity game under Still, who took charge in February 2026, focusing on quick transitions and pressing the opposition.
  • Both teams have been tight at the back in their recent games and with Watford favorites at 2.2 and Derby County at 3.35, the draw at 3.2 looks like a good option.

Prediction

  • With Derby in good form away and Watford struggling to win of late, we’re happy to side with the hosts, who are a low-odds pick at 2.2.
  • The Under 2.5 goals market at 1.67 looks a solid play considering how well these teams have defended recently.
Watford logo

Last 17 H2H matches

  • 9
    Won
  • 1
    Draw
  • 7
    Won
Derby County logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    45
    55
  • Total Shots
    17
    5
  • Shots On Target
    7
    1
  • Shots Off Target
    5
    3
  • Corners
    2
    2
  • Yellow Cards
    2
    2
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    8
    13
  • Offsides
    1
    0
  • Fouls Committed
    12
    8
  • GK Saves
    1
    5

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Championship Predictions

25 FEB WEDNESDAY

27 FEB FRIDAY

28 FEB SATURDAY

FAQ

  • Watford vs Derby County – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Watford have tallied 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Derby County have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Watford vs Derby County fixture?

    During the last Watford vs Derby County encounter, the goals came from Mamadou Doumbia, Kjerrumgaard Luca.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Watford and Derby County in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Luca Kjerrumgaard leads the scoring for Watford with 9 goals, while Carlton Morris tops the charts for Derby County with 10 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Watford or Derby County?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Watford, who have shipped just 40 goals in 34 matches and kept 6 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.18.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
11
Team Logo Derby County
49 34
12
Team Logo Watford
43 34

Player Statistics

Name
Luca Kjerrumgaard
9 1 1 0 32 2119
Imran Louza
6 7 6 1 30 2578
Mamadou Doumbia
4 1 4 0 24 1377
Othmane Maamma
4 1 1 0 20 1345
Thomas Ince
4 0 0 0 20 890

Championship Standings

11
The Derby County logo
Derby County
34 13 9 12 49:45 48
12
The Watford logo
Watford
34 12 12 10 43:40 48
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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