VfL Wolfsburg

vs

Borussia Dortmund

Preview

Wolfsburg (home)

• Wolfsburg are 14th on 19 points after 20 Bundesliga games.
• Wolfsburg are a much more direct team than Dortmund under Daniel Bauer who has brought structure, workrate and a pragmatic 4-2-3-1 system to the team since taking over as coach in November 2025.
• The hosts are unbeaten in their last two at home (Won 1, Drew 1).

Borussia Dortmund (away)

• Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the Bundesliga table on 45 points after 20 games.
• Niko Kovač’s 3-4-2-1 formation has given Dortmund much more solidity at the back and a greater ability to transition into attacks at pace since he took over in February 2025.
• Borussia have been much better defensively and have been solid away, conceding just 11 goals in 10 away matches.
• Kovač’s compact midblock and use of the wing-backs to overload the wide areas on the break make BVB a real threat in open play and that’s how they get most of their chances.

Head-to-Head

• They only won 1-0 when these two sides met in the reverse fixture four months ago.
• When these teams meet in Wolfsburg, the hosts average 1.0 goals per game, while Dortmund average 1.3 per game.

Key Players

• Mohamed Amoura (7 goals in 17 Bundesliga appearances) is Wolfsburg’s top scorer.
• Dzenan Pejcinovic has hit two of their last five Bundesliga goals.
• Serhou Guirassy leads the way for Dortmund with 8 in 19.

Betting Insights

• Dortmund are 1.71 to win, while Wolfsburg are 4.45 and the draw 3.85.
• Both teams to score is our fancy at 1.55.

Prediction

• An away win for Dortmund is the most likely outcome.
• We wouldn’t want to rule out Wolfsburg making it competitive given their direct play and recent home form (unbeaten in last two at home).
• This will be a tactical battle for both coaches with Dortmund’s organised transitions and wing-back width likely to see them through.