Milan (home)
- Milan are unbeaten in their last five Serie A games, winning two and drawing three.
- At home in Serie A, Milan have won four, drawn one and lost just one.
- With Theo Hernández providing Milan’s best outlet on the break and Rafael Leão’s pace and trickery providing a constant threat down the flanks, Allegri’s team can offer plenty of pace and penetration when on the attack, making AC Milan vs SS Lazio betting tips worth considering for the attacking options.
- However, they have been more solid than spectacular since the coach returned, particularly in the two games since the international break - a gritty 2-2 away draw at Parma and a statement 1-0 derby win away at Inter.
Lazio (away)
- Lazio are winless in their last two away Serie A matches (D1, L1).
- Lazio’s latest results include a 2-0 away defeat to Inter and a 2-0 home win over Lecce, but the former result was more indicative of their true level of play and factors into our AC Milan vs SS Lazio betting tips.
- Sarri’s side play a fast-paced, possession-first game, prioritizing verticality and passing in groups, but also coordinating pressing lines in the opponent’s half of the field.
- Sarri’s team have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, which is decent form, but they average a mere 0.50 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per game on the road in Serie A this season, suggesting they struggle to control possession away from Rome.
Head-to-Head
Although Lazio won 2-1 away at Milan in their most recent meeting in Serie A eight months ago to break the Rossoneri’s home dominance in the fixture, they enter this contest on the back of a poor run of results on the road, which impacts the AC Milan vs SS Lazio prediction.
Key Players
- With Theo Hernández providing Milan’s best outlet on the break and Rafael Leão’s pace and trickery providing a constant threat down the flanks, Allegri’s team can offer plenty of pace and penetration when on the attack.
- At a glance, Christian Pulisic is Milan’s most reliable source of goals, netting five times in just eight Serie A appearances this term, but it’s in the transitions where they can make a difference, which should be closely monitored for AC Milan vs SS Lazio betting tips.
- Matteo Cancellieri has three Serie A goals in his last six appearances and looks a clinical choice to lead Lazio’s attack on Saturday, while the pace of Felipe Anderson should create plenty of width and unpredictability for Lazio.
- Luis Alberto, meanwhile, will dictate the tempo and control the flow of the game as always for Sarri’s men.
Betting Insights
- Home advantage plays a factor here and with Lazio failing to win on the road recently, Milan’s odds of 1.65 look on the short side.
- Lazio, who average 0.50 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per Serie A away match, will face a rejuvenated Milan team who have conceded just six goals in six home Serie A fixtures this term.
Prediction
The under 2.5 goals market looks very appealing at 1.92 in this context, but with Lazio’s attacking prowess in mind, a 1-0 home win is our choice in the correct score market.
