Rotherham United (home)
- Rotherham are in a rough patch (W0 D2 L3 in the last five).
- The home side have won four, drawn four and lost four of their 12 home games in League One 2025/2026, which is not too bad a record for a side that are in the bottom four.
- United have scored 1.25 goals per home game, but won’t be able to play their preferred game against a team that sit deep and are set up to counter-attack.
- In March 2025, Matthew Hamshaw took over as Rotherham’s head coach and added a high-energy pressing game to the Millers’ footballing style.
- His side will attempt to force turnovers and play on the break with their superior athleticism, but they have failed to win their last two at home (D1 L1).
AFC Wimbledon (away)
- Wimbledon are inconsistent (W2 L3 in the last five).
- Johnnie Jackson’s side are 17th in League One with 31 points from 25 games.
- Wimbledon have won one and lost one of their last two away games, but have a good record of getting something when they travel with five wins, one draw and seven defeats in 13 league away games.
- Jackson has kept the same solid back three structure and pragmatic approach since taking over as head coach in 2022 and they have scored 1.31 goals per away game in 2025-26.
- Wimbledon are a defensive team and will sit deep and look to counter-attack.
Head-to-Head
Wimbledon beat Rotherham 2-1 at home in the reverse League One fixture four months ago.
Key Players
- Rotherham’s best attacking player is Sam Nombe, who has six goals in 10 League One appearances.
- Wimbledon’s top scorer is Marcus Browne with six in 21.
- The visitors have a threat from deep in Myles Hippolyte, who has scored two of their last six goals and is their most dynamic player in the front third.
Betting Insights
- The Dons are priced at 2.78 to get another result from this game, while Rotherham are 2.64 and the draw is 3.0.
- The under 2.5 goals bet is available at 1.57, which looks appealing given both clubs’ form and Wimbledon’s defensive approach.
Prediction
- Backing Wimbledon to take something from this fixture is an obvious play given Rotherham’s poor form and the fact this is effectively a must-not-lose game for the hosts.
- A better play is the under 2.5 goals market given Wimbledon will sit back and look to counter-attack, which could well lead to a tight game with few clear chances.
