Real Madrid

vs

Deportivo Alaves

Preview

Real Madrid

• Real Madrid’s LaLiga home record in 2025-2026 reads 13 wins, one draw and two defeats.
• The hosts have been in good form of late with three wins, a draw and one defeat from their last five LaLiga matches and a run of two wins and a draw at home with a 3-2 win over Atletico Madrid coming in that sequence.
• Madrid, who are second in the table on 70 points from 31 games, have been incredibly prolific at home this season, hitting 37 goals in 16 games while losing only twice.

Deportivo Alaves

• Deportivo Alaves have won three, drawn three and lost ten of their 16 away LaLiga games, averaging 1.00 goals per game on the road.
• Alaves are a counter-attacking, set-piece team and, while they are rarely likely to have more of the ball or dictate the terms of the match, they have enough pace and guile to hurt Madrid in transition.
• Alaves are currently 17th with 33 points from the same number of games as Madrid and have drawn their last two, including a 3-3 thriller away at Real Sociedad.
• The Babazorros are much more organised and compact defensively since Quique Sanchez Flores took over as coach in March 2026 and they are not likely to get out of second gear against Madrid.

Head-to-Head

Key Players

• Federico Valverde, who has scored four of Madrid’s last 11 goals in their previous five games, is a solid anytime scorer bet with Mbappe at the peak of his powers up front.
• Alaves have been in better goalscoring form themselves with Lucas Boye bagging four times in their last five, so we will go with the Argentina striker to get his name on the scoring sheet.

Betting Insights

• Their 13 wins and one draw in the other 14 matches suggests the odds of 1.31 on a home win are not good value at all, but Alaves have been in reasonable form themselves with a win, three draws and only one defeat in their last five.
• The odds on this fixture featuring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring look a good fit given the circumstances.

Prediction