Deportivo Alaves (home)
- Deportivo Alaves have won four, drawn two and lost two at home in LaLiga this season, conceding only seven goals in eight fixtures at the Mendizorroza.
- Deportivo Alaves will be up for this match after claiming consecutive wins in their two previous games - a 1-0 home victory over Real Sociedad in LaLiga, and our Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid betting tips suggest they could keep things tight again.
- Eduardo Coudet’s men are very good at the high-intensity, pressing game in which they aim to create turnovers in the opposition half and then quickly transition to attack.
- Carlos Vicente has three goals in 15 LaLiga games this season, but is Alaves’ primary outlet up top and will be a threat on Sunday.
- The compact and intense Mendizorroza could be a tough environment for Real Madrid, who will need to maintain their composure and structure against a very pressing home side. The Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid betting tips highlight the potential for a close, hard-fought contest.
Real Madrid (away)
- Real Madrid have won 5 of their 9 away LaLiga 2025/2026 games, drawing three and losing only once, scoring 2.00 goals on average and conceding 1.11 goals.
- Real Madrid sit second in LaLiga 2025/2026 after 16 games with 36 points on the board, 18 more than Deportivo Alaves in 11th with 18 points from 15 games.
- Xabi Alonso has overseen a speedy transition to a well-structured possession game at Real Madrid since taking over as boss in June 2025, with Los Blancos able to press in unison and also play a controlled game with a calculated increase in tempo to break the opposition lines.
- Madrid are unbeaten in their last three away games, winning two and drawing one, and beat Athletic Bilbao 3-0 away from home in their latest LaLiga game. This Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid prediction will have to take Madrid’s consistency on the road into account.
Head-to-Head
Real Madrid have won each of the last four H2Hs in all competitions and conceded just once.
Key Players
- Kylian Mbappe has scored 16 LaLiga goals in 16 games, including seven in his last five.
- 16 LaLiga goals in 16 games
- Seven in his last five
- Carlos Vicente has three goals in 15 LaLiga games this season and is Alaves’ primary outlet up top.
Betting Insights
- Real Madrid are 1.64 favourites for this game, while Alaves are 5.89 underdogs with the draw at 4.26. The Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid betting tips generally favor Madrid but recognize the home side's defensive strength.
- Real Madrid have had some issues scoring goals of late with Mbappe almost the sole finisher in their past five games, so I am leaning towards the over in the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market at 1.78 as my main bet.
Prediction
- Given Real Madrid’s head-to-head advantage, superior form away from home this season and the incredible form of Kylian Mbappe, who has scored 16 LaLiga goals in 16 games, including seven in his last five, they are rightful favorites.
- But the all-action, all-press style of Alaves could make for some moments of mayhem in the midfield battle and their home form is good enough to suggest they could get something from this game.
