Penarol Montevideo (home)
- Penarol Montevideo have won 4 of their last 5 games and have a 3 game winning streak entering the derby.
- The hosts are league leaders, with 35 points from 15 games.
- Penarol are on a 3 game hot streak coming into the game.
- Penarol Montevideo manager Diego Aguirre, who took charge in November 2023, has brought a more direct, vertical and pressing style of soccer to his team.
- They are compact at the back and press high up the field, looking to win the ball back in transition, where they have the pace and strength to overrun the opposition.
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Recent stats:
- Home record: 8 wins from 8.
- Home goals: 16 goals in 8 home games.
Nacional (away)
- Nacional have drawn 4 of their last 5, and have drawn all of their last 4 away games.
- Nacional are on a 3-game draw streak.
- The visitors are 8 points off the pace, in 2nd, with 27 points from 15 games.
- Nacional manager Pablo Peirano, who took the helm in April 2025, has instilled a more patient and structured identity on his team, who build up from the center of the field and look to be compact in a mid-block.
- They look to play direct when they can, and do so at the right moments, usually when their number nine can play off the shoulder.
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Recent away stats:
- Goals scored away: 0.75 per game.
- Goals conceded away: 0.62 per game.
Head-to-Head
In the last 4 meetings, the Penarol Montevideo vs Club Nacional de Montevideo prediction suggests Penarol have bested Nacional with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss .
Betting Insights
- Two Uruguayan giants face off on Sunday with Penarol Montevideo (2.22) entering the game narrow favorites to Nacional (3.38), with the draw priced at 3.08.
- This Penarol Montevideo vs Club Nacional de Montevideo betting tips guide notes that the hosts are unbeaten at home in this league, with 8 wins from 8, and have scored 16 goals in 8 home games so far this season.
- The latest Penarol Montevideo vs Club Nacional de Montevideo betting tips also highlight Nacional’s away numbers (scoring 0.75 and conceding 0.62) support backing 'Under 2.5 goals' at 1.6 as a strong alternative play.
Prediction
Expect a tight, low-scoring derby; backing Under 2.5 goals looks the most sensible option.
