Newcastle (home)
- Newcastle have won seven, drawn two and lost three of their 12 Premier League home games this season.
- Newcastle are 11th with 33 points from 24.
- Howe has instilled his philosophy of collective, high-intensity pressing and vertical transitions in the squad, but they have been caught out on the counterattack with frustrating regularity.
- Newcastle have won just once in their last two games at St James’ Park.
Brentford (away)
- Brentford are 7th with 36 points from 24 games.
- Brentford’s new boss Keith Andrews has kept the Bees’ blueprint, which relies on structure and set-pieces, intact since he took over in June 2025, but has added some subtle tweaks that have made them even more dangerous in transition and off aerial balls.
- Brentford have only won four of their 12 Premier League away games this term, losing eight.
Head-to-Head
Brentford won the last Premier League meeting 3-1 at home two months ago and have won two of the last three meetings to Newcastle’s one .
Key Players
-
Recent form and creators to watch:
- Igor Thiago - who has scored 16 in 24 Premier League games, including five in his last five.
- Vitaly Janelt - Brentford’s top provider with three assists in his team’s last five.
- Bruno Guimaraes - has eight Premier League goals in 21 appearances for Newcastle.
- Harvey Barnes - has scored two of Newcastle’s last six goals and offers a direct threat from wide areas.
Betting Insights
- Odds and value: The odds of 1.9 on the hosts are considered too low to back, given Brentford’s recent performances and their ability to hurt teams on the break.
- Market pick: So we’re recommending Both Teams To Score (BTTS) at 1.57 because there should be plenty of back-and-forth and the odd lapse in concentration that can lead to chances at both ends.
Prediction
Newcastle’s 4-3-3 system and man-to-man pressing tactics should produce a fascinating contrast with Brentford’s compact, counter-punching approach, which gives the Magpies a slight edge - but the value lies elsewhere.
