Millwall

vs

Portsmouth

Preview

Millwall

• Millwall are third in the Championship table with 56 points from 32 matches.
• Millwall have been in fine form since the turn of the year, winning three of their last five (D1, L1).
• The hosts have one of the better home records in the Championship with nine wins, three draws and four losses.
• They score an average of 1.38 goals per home game and concede an average of 1.12.

Portsmouth

• Portsmouth are in 21st place with 33 points from 30 games.
• Pompey have had a rough start to 2025 with two defeats in a row to Preston North End and Sheffield United.
• Pompey have won only one of their last five, drawing one and losing three.
• John Mousinho has tried to install a direct, intense style of play with lots of pressing and lots of running since he arrived in January 2023.

Head-to-Head

• Pompey won the reverse fixture 3-1 on home soil two months ago.
• Millwall have won two of the last three head-to-heads in the Championship.

Millwall

• The hosts have been in good form in recent weeks with Tom Bradshaw’s intelligent movement and pressing creating lots of opportunities for his teammates to profit on the counter.
• Femi Azeez has been the biggest beneficiary of this with seven goals and three assists in 21 Championship appearances this season.

Portsmouth

• Pompey have been in poor form and Ebou Adams has been their main threat with two of their last four goals.
• Adrian Segecic is top scorer in the squad with five goals in 25 Championship games.

Betting Insights

• Millwall are the clear favourites at 1.72.
• Portsmouth are as long as 4.85, with the draw priced at 3.5.
• I’m backing Under 2.5 goals at 1.8.

Prediction

• I’m expecting the Lions to prove their promotion credentials with another victory on Saturday.
• I’m confident Millwall can get the job done with a one-goal win.