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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Millwall logo
1 - 0
Full-Time
Derby County logo
Championship
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Millwall
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Millwall vs Derby County Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.96
    1X2 - Ordinary Time
    Millwall
    Won
    Explanation
    • Millwall has won 4 of their last 5 matches, including three clean-sheet wins, showing strong form.
    • Derby County has 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5, conceding 6 goals in two heavy away defeats.
    • In their last 3 head-to-heads Millwall is unbeaten with 1 win and 2 draws, giving the home side an edge.
  • Tipped at
    2.05
    Over/Under - Ordinary Time
    Over 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • In Championship 2025-2026, Millwall's home games average 2.61 total goals per match.
    • Derby County's away matches average 2.94 total goals this season, pointing to open contests.
    • Their recent form is high-scoring: last 5 games averaged 2.8 goals for Millwall and 3.4 for Derby County.
  • Tipped at
    1.86
    Both Teams To Score - Ordinary Time
    No
    Won
    Explanation
    • Millwall kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches (two 2-0s and one 3-0), lowering BTTS chances.
    • This season Millwall's home matches have seen both teams score in just 38.89% of cases.
    • While Derby County scores 1.65 away, Millwall concedes only 1.17 at home this season, favoring a shutout.

Predictions

Millwall

  • Millwall have won four and lost one of their last five Championship matches, winning each of their last two.
  • Alex Neil has overseen a significant increase in structure and stability at Millwall since taking charge in December 2024.
  • The Lions have played with a more pragmatic and compact 4-2-3-1 system this season, often slowing the game down before striking with direct play and are defensively solid enough to avoid being made to pay for errors at the back.

Derby County

  • Derby County have won two and lost three of their last five, losing both of their last two away matches.
  • That’s in contrast to John Eustace’s Derby County, who have played a high-tempo, pressing system since he took charge in February 2025.
  • They’ve played a 4-2-3-1 system where they attempt to win the ball back quickly and then play vertically into their pacey attacking players, often catching opponents off guard when they come onto the ball in transitional phases.

Key Players

  • Femi Azeez has been the star of the show for Millwall this season, getting on the scoresheet eight times and providing three assists in 24 appearances in the Championship.
  • Rhian Brewster has scored three of the Rams’ last eight goals across his last five appearances.
  • Carlton Morris, who has been the club’s best player this campaign, has 10 goals in 20 league appearances, so the visitors always pose a threat in the attacking third.

Betting Insights

  • Millwall have won 10 of their 18 home league games this term, so both teams to score does look likely in this clash of styles.
  • ‘Both Teams to Score - Yes’ is available at 1.83 for this one, which seems a little too low given Derby’s away record of eight wins, three draws and six defeats from 17 away days in the Championship where they’ve netted 28 goals.

Prediction

Millwall are a hard team to back against at the moment though, so we’ll take the hosts to nick this crucial matchup at 1.98 .

Millwall logo

Last 26 H2H matches

  • 10
    Won
  • 9
    Draw
  • 7
    Won
Derby County logo

Last Matches

Live Stats

Live Stats

  • Possession
    50
    50
  • Total Shots
    15
    14
  • Shots On Target
    4
    1
  • Shots Off Target
    7
    7
  • Corners
    6
    2
  • Yellow Cards
    0
    3
  • Red Cards
    0
    0
  • Free Kicks
    13
    7
  • Offsides
    0
    3
  • Fouls Committed
    7
    13
  • GK Saves
    0
    3

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Championship Predictions

02 MAY SATURDAY

FAQ

  • Millwall vs Derby County – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Millwall have tallied 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. In the same span, Derby County have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Millwall vs Derby County fixture?

    During the last Millwall vs Derby County encounter, the goals came from Josh Coburn.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Millwall and Derby County in this Championship 2025/2026 season?

    In the Championship 2025/2026, Femi Azeez leads the scoring for Millwall with 9 goals, while Carlton Morris tops the charts for Derby County with 12 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2025/2026 season – Millwall or Derby County?

    The Championship 2025/2026’s best defence belongs to Millwall, who have shipped just 49 goals in 45 matches and kept 17 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.09.

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Stats

  • Goals Scored logo
  • Goals (ø)
  • 1st Half Goals
  • 2nd Half Goals
  • Early Goals (1'-10')
  • Late Goals (+85')
  • Penalty Goals
  • Headed Goals
  • Free Kick Goals
3
Team Logo Millwall
62 45
8
Team Logo Derby County
66 45

Player Statistics

Name
Mihailo Ivanovic
9 2 2 0 43 2895
Femi Azeez
9 7 5 1 34 2720
Josh Coburn
9 0 2 0 26 1767
Camiel Neghli
5 4 4 0 45 3196
Jake Cooper
4 1 10 0 44 3960

Championship Standings

3
The Millwall logo
Millwall
45 23 11 11 62:49 80
8
The Derby County logo
Derby County
45 20 9 16 66:57 69
Glossary
  • MP: Matches Played
  • W: Wins
  • D: Draws
  • L: Losses
  • G: Goals
  • P: Points

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